Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: H-E-B Center at Cedar Park (Cedar Park, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Texas Stars		Chicago Wolves

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.15	Watch
	2.45	3.95	2.36
	2.51	4.09	2.34
	2.49	4.19	2.33	Watch
	2.45	4	2.3
	2.45	4.1	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.67)	4.06 ↓ (4.19)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas Stars
37%

Draw
22.7%

Chicago Wolves
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

22.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

23.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Chicago Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Texas Stars aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Wolves than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poirier R. (G)	30. Primeau C. (G)
35. Anderson J.	22. Brind'Amour S.
27. Becker J.	2. Fensore D.
3. Bertucci T.	52. Foote C.
22. Fitzgerald C.	10. Gunler N.
32. Hanas C.	34. Heimosalmi A.
14. Hryckowian D.	82. Nadeau B.
19. Hughes C. (A)	79. Neuchev V.
26. Karow M.	9. Nystrom J.
18. Kolyachonok V.	15. Pavlychev N.
4. Krys L.	12. Philp N.
17. Lind K. (A)	93. Robidas J. (A)
16. McKenzie C. (C)	27. Ryabkin I.
7. Rickwood E.	8. Seeley R. (A)
11. Scott H.	23. Slavin J. (C)
13. Seminoff M.	14. Sorum F. U.
38. Shlaine A.	6. Suzuki R.
40. Stranges A.	4. Valimaki J.
2. Taylor T.	41. Vierling E.
Substitutes
30. Tiefensee A. (G)	35. Miftakhov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
00:44, 1 - 0, Seminoff M. (G), Hughes C. (A), Krys L. (A2)
09:30, 1 - 1, Valimaki J. (G), Nadeau B. (A), Robidas J. (A2)
13:26, 2 - 1, Karow M. (G), Seminoff M. (A), Shlaine A. (A2)
15:28, 2 - 2, Foote C. (G), Nystrom J. (A), Slavin J. (A2)
16:06, 3 - 2, McKenzie C. (G), Hanas C. (A), Rickwood E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
12:47, 3 - 3, Gunler N. (G), Vierling E. (A), Pavlychev N. (A2)
17:13, 3 - 4, Valimaki J. (G), Brind'Amour S. (A), Foote C. (A2)
19:30, 4 - 4, Rickwood E. (G), Karow M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
10:27, 4 - 5, Fensore D. (G), Suzuki R. (A), Ryabkin I. (A2)

Preview

Texas Stars leads series 1-0. Second leg.

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas won 5.

Texas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Texas won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 64:51. (average 3.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Texas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 3:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chicago Wolves - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.13%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas Stars
AHL
28.04.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Texas Stars - Rockford IceHogs	5:1 ✺
17.04.26	Texas Stars - Rockford IceHogs	6:1 ✺
12.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Texas Stars	4:3 OT ✺
10.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Texas Stars	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL
- Chicago Wolves
AHL
28.04.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Chicago Wolves - Milwaukee Admirals	5:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chicago Wolves - Milwaukee Admirals	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Chicago Wolves - Manitoba Moose	3:2 penalties ✺
12.04.26	Chicago Wolves - Rockford IceHogs	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
28.04.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	2:0
04.04.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	4:2
03.04.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	3:1
18.03.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	5:4
17.03.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	2:1
08.03.26	Chicago Wolves - Texas Stars	6:7 penalties
07.03.26	Chicago Wolves - Texas Stars	2:4

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