Match Info

AHL

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: H-E-B Center at Cedar Park (Cedar Park, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Texas Stars		Coachella Valley Firebirds

	1	X	2
	2.45	4	2.2	Watch
	2.5	4	2.34
	2.52	4.14	2.32	Watch
	2.45	3.9	2.3
	2.46	4.25	2.27	Watch
	2.4	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	4.05 ↑ (3.78)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas Stars
37.2%

Draw
22.6%

Coachella Valley Firebirds
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

23.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

25.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Coachella Valley Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coachella Valley Firebirds than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Texas Stars - Coachella Valley Firebirds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Coachella Valley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Texas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 46:51. (average 3.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.7:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas Stars
AHL
13.01.26	Texas Stars - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:5 ✺
10.01.26	Chicago Wolves - Texas Stars	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	Grand Rapids Griffins - Texas Stars	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Grand Rapids Griffins - Texas Stars	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Texas Stars - Milwaukee Admirals	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLW
- Coachella Valley Firebirds
AHL
13.01.26	Texas Stars - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:5 ✺
10.01.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Henderson Silver Knights	3:2 ✺
07.01.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Henderson Silver Knights	1:5 ✺
03.01.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	3:2 ✺
02.01.26	San Diego Gulls - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
13.01.26	Texas Stars - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:5
03.12.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Texas Stars	3:2 penalties
29.11.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Texas Stars	3:5
01.02.25	Texas Stars - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:3 OT
31.01.25	Texas Stars - Coachella Valley Firebirds	1:2 OT
05.12.24	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Texas Stars	6:4
30.11.24	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Texas Stars	3:4 penalties

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