Match Info

AHL

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: H-E-B Center at Cedar Park (Cedar Park, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Texas Stars		Grand Rapids Griffins

	1	X	2
	2.8	4	2	Watch
	2.95	4.15	1.99	Watch
	2.99	4.05	1.97
	2.65	4.18	2.17	Watch
	2.93	4	2.01	Watch
	2.85	3.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.45)	4.04 ↑ (3.75)	2.02 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas Stars
32%

Draw
22.7%

Grand Rapids Griffins
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

23.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

22.2%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Grand Rapids Griffins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grand Rapids Griffins's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grand Rapids Griffins than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Texas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Grand Rapids will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Texas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poirier R. (G)	33. Cossa S. (G)
27. Becker J.	77. Angle T.
3. Bertucci T.	21. Bantle C.
21. Chisholm S.	28. Brandsegg-Nygard M.
10. Ertel J.	47. Doucet A.
19. Hughes C. (A)	15. Dries S.
12. Hyry A.	3. Holl J.
26. Karow M.	41. Kannok-Leipert A.
17. Lind K. (A)	37. Lagesson W. (A)
37. Looft K.	19. Leonard J.
16. McKenzie C. (C)	27. Moyle N.
24. Punnett C.	81. Rychlovsky J.
11. Scott H.	11. Seger G.
13. Seminoff M.	65. Shine D. (C)
38. Shlaine A.	34. Tralmaks E.
40. Stranges A.	20. Truscott J.
2. Taylor T.	4. Tuomisto A.
34. Tuomaala S.	22. Wallinder W.
8. White G.	51. Watson A. (A)
Substitutes
33. Kraws B. (G)	30. Tokarski D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
13:08, 0 - 1, Dries S. (G), Leonard J. (A), Shine D. (A2)
17:36, 1 - 1, Taylor T. (G), Tuomaala S. (A), Hughes C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:32, 2 - 1, Looft K. (G), Scott H. (A),
03:45, 2 - 2, Rychlovsky J. (G), Lagesson W. (A), Tralmaks E. (A2)
06:41, 2 - 3, Angle T. (G), Brandsegg-Nygard M. (A), Watson A. (A2)
15:30, 3 - 3, Hughes C. (G), Tuomaala S. (A), Karow M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:59, 3 - 4, Brandsegg-Nygard M. (G),
15:00, 3 - 5, Leonard J. (G), Dries S. (A), Lagesson W. (A2)
17:13, 3 - 6, Shine D. (G), Dries S. (A), Lagesson W. (A2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas won 2.

In recent matches, Texas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grand Rapids is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Texas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:59. (average 3.1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Texas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:40. (average 3.5:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas Stars
AHL
25.11.25	Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins	1:10 ✺
22.11.25	Texas Stars - Rockford IceHogs	5:2 ✺
21.11.25	Texas Stars - Rockford IceHogs	3:4 OT ✺
18.11.25	Iowa Wild - Texas Stars	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Rockford IceHogs - Texas Stars	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Grand Rapids Griffins
AHL
25.11.25	Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins	1:10 ✺
22.11.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Charlotte Checkers	2:1 OT ✺
21.11.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Charlotte Checkers	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Rockford IceHogs - Grand Rapids Griffins	1:5 ✺
14.11.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Toronto Marlies	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
25.11.25	Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins	1:10
11.10.25	Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins	2:3
10.10.25	Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins	3:4
09.05.25	Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins	5:4 OT
05.05.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Texas Stars	2:4
29.04.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Texas Stars	0:4
12.04.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Texas Stars	1:4

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