The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grand Rapids Griffins 40.9%
Draw 23%
Toronto Marlies 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
22.8%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
22.1%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grand Rapids Griffins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grand Rapids Griffins than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Grand Rapids Griffins - Toronto Marlies Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gylander C. (G)
50. Peksa V. (G)
77. Angle T.
68. Barbolini M.
21. Bantle C.
72. Boyd T. (A)
28. Brandsegg-Nygard M.
58. Chadwick N.
47. Doucet A.
29. Groulx B.
15. Dries S. (A)
43. Haymes L.
56. Gustafsson E.
65. Johnson R.
41. Kannok-Leipert A.
57. Johnstone M. (A)
37. Lagesson W. (A)
92. Nylander A.
19. Leonard J.
56. Pare C.
93. Lombardi A.
37. Prokop J.
55. Mitchell I.
26. Quillan J.
26. Moyle N.
97. Sharpe C.
81. Rychlovsky J.
11. Shaw L. (C)
11. Seger G.
59. Smith B.
65. Shine D. (C)
77. Tverberg R.
34. Tralmaks E.
39. Valis B.
4. Tuomisto A.
76. Villeneuve W.
22. Wallinder W.
52. Webber C.
Substitutes
30. Tokarski D. (G)
80. Appleby K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
04:57, 1 - 0, Tralmaks E. (G), Angle T. (A),
18:06, 2 - 0, Brandsegg-Nygard M. (G), Mitchell I. (A), Dries S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
01:48, 3 - 0, Brandsegg-Nygard M. (G), Rychlovsky J. (A), Mitchell I. (A2)
03:37, 3 - 1, Tverberg R. (G), Prokop J. (A),
13:14, 4 - 1, Lombardi A. (G), Leonard J. (A), Shine D. (A2)
16:04, 4 - 2, Johnstone M. (G), Johnson R. (A), Pare C. (A2)
17:00, 5 - 2, Leonard J. (G),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grand Rapids won 1.
Grand Rapids is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grand Rapids won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:78. (average 2.7:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Grand Rapids won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:43. (average 2.5:3.6).