Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	Thurgau		Ajoie

	1	X	2
	4.5	5.25	1.44
	5	5	1.42
	5	5.4	1.4
	4.51	4.99	1.41
	4.5	5	1.4
	5.25	5.25	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.26)	5.15 ↑ (4.7)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thurgau
18.8%

Draw
17.5%

Ajoie
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

19.2%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

12.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thurgau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thurgau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajoie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Thurgau - Ajoie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Preview

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Ajoie is Qualified for Swiss League (Play Offs Quartertofinals)

Thurgau is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ajoie is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ajoie have a series of home games.

In this match Ajoie is a favorite.

Last 44 head-to-head matches Thurgau won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 25 matches and goals 109-142.

Including matches at home between the teams Thurgau won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 63-61.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Thurgau
Swiss League Hockey
22.02.21	GCK Lions - Thurgau	2:5 ✺
20.02.21	EHC Kloten - Thurgau	1:4 ✺
18.02.21	Thurgau - Bellinzona Snakes	3:2 ✺
16.02.21	Thurgau - Sierre	3:2 ✺
14.02.21	GCK Lions - Thurgau	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWL
- HC Ajoie
Swiss League Hockey
22.02.21	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	4:3 penalties ✺
20.02.21	Academy Zug - Ajoie	2:10 ✺
18.02.21	Ajoie - Sierre	1:4 ✺
16.02.21	Ajoie - Langenthal	3:4 ✺
14.02.21	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
20.01.21	Thurgau - Ajoie	1:6
08.12.20	Ajoie - Thurgau	1:0
24.11.20	Ajoie - Thurgau	4:0
31.01.20	Thurgau - Ajoie	2:3
21.11.19	Ajoie - Thurgau	2:3
12.11.19	Ajoie - Thurgau	1:0
02.10.19	Thurgau - Ajoie	3:2

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