Match Info

MHL

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Tolpar		Krasnaya Armiya

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.3	1.75
	3.95	4.35	1.72	Watch
	3.5	4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.51)	4.22 ↑ (4.19)	1.74 (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
24.5%

Draw
22%

Krasnaya Armiya
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

21.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

20.9%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Krasnaya Armiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnaya Armiya than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tolpar - Krasnaya Armiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Yelin I. (G)	57. Dubrovin K. (G)
89. Shcherbakov N.	12. Rodionov A.
76. Pykhtin D. (C)	65. Pestretsov B.
28. Akhsyanov B. (A)	40. Sidorov P.
37. Zagrebin M.	9. Dontsov A.
67. Khabibullin A. (A)	84. Lagoda G. (A)
Line 2
24. Karasyov M.	86. Gubanov A. (A)
36. Gunkin Y.	54. Shtyrhunov V.
63. Makarkin A.	52. Poroshkov D. (C)
42. Koltsov N.	53. Matveiko Y.
47. Fogelnest M.	67. Privalov N.
Line 3
16. Khusainov R.	4. Yukin I.
23. Khafzetdinov A.	92. Venskel M.
26. Degtyarev M.	99. Zaitsev M.
87. Buzdyganov V.	74. Frolov N.
75. Shebyakin M.	73. Mikhailov N.
Line 4
58. Plotnikov D.	36. Shelkov M.
98. Zayets D.	58. Yakushevsky B.
78. Zhuk A.	38. Petrov A.
18. Kireyev R.	85. Kabisov L.
10. Shermakov A.	50. Okunev I.
Substitutes
94. Tkachyov K. (G)	1. Privalov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:12, 1 - 0, Karasyov M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:33, 1 - 1, Matveiko Y. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Koltsov N. (Penalty Shot),
1, Matveiko Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Shebyakin M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Dontsov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
3, Poroshkov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Frolov N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Zagrebin M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Yakushevsky B. (Penalty Shot),
5, Buzdyganov V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Matveiko Y. (Penalty Shot),
6, Shebyakin M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Krasnaya Armiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Krasnaya Armiya is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tolpar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
28.11.25	Sibirskie Snaypery - Tolpar	3:4 OT ✺
25.11.25	Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Tolpar	4:3 penalties ✺
19.11.25	Tolpar - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:2 ✺
16.11.25	Tolpar - Reaktor	4:2 ✺
10.11.25	Tolpar - Belye Medvedi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Krasnaya Armiya
MHL
24.11.25	SKA-Akademiya - Krasnaya Armiya	3:6 ✺
22.11.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Krasnaya Armiya	1:6 ✺
17.11.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Loko	5:3 ✺
15.11.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Loko	2:4 ✺
12.11.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Almaz	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.08.22	Krasnaya Armiya - Tolpar	4:2

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