Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday


	Tolpar		Sarmaty Orenburzhya

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.9	5.6
	1.37	5.31	5.48
	1.38	5.35	5.9	Watch
	1.39	5.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)	5.19 ↓ (5.58)	5.75 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
66.5%

Draw
17.6%

Sarmaty Orenburzhya
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

16.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

16.5%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sarmaty Orenburzhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmaty Orenburzhya than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Tolpar - Sarmaty Orenburzhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tolpar won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sarmaty Orenburzhya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tolpar have a series of guest games.

Recently Sarmaty Orenburzhya have a series of home games.

In this match Tolpar is absolute favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Tolpar won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 115-63.

Including matches at home between the teams Tolpar won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 62-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
15.09.22	Tolpar - Ladya Togliatti	3:1 ✺
10.09.22	Omskye Yastreby - Tolpar	1:5 ✺
09.09.22	Omskye Yastreby - Tolpar	5:1 ✺
06.09.22	Belye Medvedi - Tolpar	2:0 ✺
05.09.22	Belye Medvedi - Tolpar	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL
- Sarmaty Orenburzhya
MHL
15.09.22	Stalnye Lisy - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	6:3 ✺
08.09.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Irbis Kazan	2:0 ✺
05.09.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
01.09.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Stalnye Lisy	2:1 ✺
31.08.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Stalnye Lisy	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
07.03.22	Tolpar - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	2:3 penalties
06.03.22	Tolpar - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	2:3
08.12.21	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Tolpar	3:6
07.12.21	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Tolpar	3:2
16.02.21	Tolpar - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	7:1
15.02.21	Tolpar - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	7:2
04.11.20	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Tolpar	1:6

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