Match Info

VHL

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.97	3.98	2
	3.04	4	2.05	Watch
	2.85	3.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.52)	3.94 ↓ (4.13)	2.02 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
31.1%

Draw
23.3%

Dizel Penza
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

22.3%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.6%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dizel Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Chelny - Dizel Penza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dizel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskov A. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)
19. Zakharov N.	68. Rudakov G.
12. Marin M. (A)	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
59. Anufriev I.	91. Andriyanov A.
68. Silayev I. (C)	95. Pochivalov D.
29. Manukyan A.	69. Boluchevsky A.
Line 2
62. Naumov G.	7. Spitsenko K.
50. Motygullin B. (A)	6. Lukichyov A.
10. Ustimkin M.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
22. Minnekhanov B.	71. Kolmykov M.
96. Lomako O.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 3
73. Goloshchapov K.	83. Sukhov S.
44. Vinogradov A.	98. Lyulko V.
25. Rakhcheev I.	87. Karapetyan D.
94. Sherstobitov D.	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
18. Guskov I.	10. Popov D.
Line 4
86. Minnekhanov T.	54. Filippov T.
26. Tarasov A.	96. Baranov Y.
83. Mukhin K.	34. Larichev V.
	73. Latypov G.
Substitutes
69. Redkov A.	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
60. Sartakov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
03:52, 0 - 1, Borisenkov A. (G), Kolmykov M. (A),
15:40, 0 - 2, Andriyanov A. (G),
18:40, 0 - 3, Pogorishny O. (G), Pochivalov D. (A), Makhanovsky P. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:54, 1 - 3, Guskov I. (G), Rakhcheev I. (A), Sherstobitov D. (A2)
15:23, 2 - 3, Manukyan A. (G), Marin M. (A), Anufriev I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:33, 2 - 4, Andriyanov A. (G),

Preview

Chelny is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dizel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dizel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dizel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.1%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
01.02.26	Chelny - Ryazan	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Chelny - AKM	2:1 OT ✺
24.01.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelny	4:1 ✺
22.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - Chelny	4:2 ✺
20.01.26	Bars Kazan - Chelny	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
01.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
30.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - Dizel Penza	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	1:2 OT ✺
22.01.26	Dizel Penza - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
20.01.26	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.10.25	Dizel Penza - Chelny	2:1
13.03.25	Dizel Penza - Chelny	5:0
10.09.24	Chelny - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties
13.01.24	Dizel Penza - Chelny	6:3
06.10.23	Chelny - Dizel Penza	2:1

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