What is the expert prediction for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod vs Ak Bars Kazan?

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Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod vs Ak Bars Kazan Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 21, 2026)

Match Info

KHL

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod		Ak Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.65	2.35
	2.61	4.3	2.41	Watch
	2.5	4.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)	4.07 ↓ (4.19)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
36.4%

Draw
23.3%

Ak Bars Kazan
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

22.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

24.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ak Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ak Bars: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ak Bars (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Shugayev D. (G)	20. Arefyev M. (G)
6. Konyushkov B.	58. Miller M.
2. Zhuravlyov D.	96. Lyamkin N.
16. Atanasov V.	95. Galimov A.
55. Tkachyov V. (A)	24. Safonov I.
92. Vinogradov Y.	17. Barabanov A.
Line 2
36. Sizov A. (A)	53. Marchenko A. (C)
77. Nardella B.	89. Karpukhin I.
10. Firstov V.	29. Todd N.
7. Letunov M.	94. Semyonov K. (A)
89. Geraskin I.	55. Chmelevski A.
Line 3
81. Varlakov A.	28. Terekhov S.
33. Naumenkov M.	33. Yarullin A.
27. Goncharuk S.	23. Jaskin D.
78. Kruchinin A. (C)	11. Fisenko M. (A)
13. Sokolov Y.	14. Denisenko G.
Line 4
21. Silayev A.	22. Bardin I.
88. Mukhanov T.	18. Potapov Y.
68. Garayev A.	71. Pustozyorov A.
93. Belevich A.	92. Katelevsky D.
85. Yaremchuk A.	86. Dynyak N.
Substitutes
52. Dagestansky D. (G)	82. Bilyalov T. (G)
Coaches
. Isakov A.	. Gatiyatulin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:56, 0 - 1, Semyonov K. (G), Todd N. (A), Chmelevski A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:58, Karpukhin I. (2 min),
13:23, 0 - 2, Todd N. (G), Semyonov K. (A), Yarullin A. (A2)
17:12, Yarullin A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:05, Pustozyorov A. (2 min),
11:33, 1 - 2, Sokolov Y. (G), Kruchinin A. (A), Konyushkov B. (A2)
13:26, 2 - 2, Letunov M. (G), Firstov V. (A), Naumenkov M. (A2)
17:08, Yaremchuk A. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Chmelevski A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Tkachyov V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Semyonov K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Sokolov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Barabanov A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Torpedo NN is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Ak Bars is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo NN won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Torpedo NN may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ak Bars has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torpedo NN won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 49:64. (average 2.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo NN won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 2.4:3.4).

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Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
KHL
18.02.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Shanghai Dragons	4:3 OT ✺
15.02.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	2:4 ✺
12.02.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:3 OT ✺
10.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW
- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
19.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Ak Bars Kazan	2:4 ✺
17.02.26	Avangard Omsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:5 ✺
12.02.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:3 OT ✺
04.02.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Ak Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
02.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
12.02.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:3 OT
11.02.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:5
07.09.24	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties
28.09.23	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 OT
16.09.23	Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:3
10.11.22	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Ak Bars Kazan	6:4
14.09.22	Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:1

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