The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 50.6%
Draw 24.2%
Vityaz Balashikha 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
22%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
21.3%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Vityaz Balashikha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Torpedo NN will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Vityaz will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Kulbakov I. (G)
83. Dorozhko M. (G)
6. Konyushkov B. (C)
79. Roy J. (A)
18. Phillips M.
9. Valentsov V.
38. Tertyshny N.
40. Figurin A.
7. Letunov M.
10. Galuzin V. (C)
10. Firstov V.
74. Makeyev A.
Line 2
21. Silayev A.
18. Stewart D.
26. Voynov V. (A)
7. Busygin Y.
79. Artamonov N.
82. Chekhovich I.
12. Kodola V.
26. Barach D.
27. Goncharuk S.
72. Buchelnikov D.
Line 3
28. Thompson K.
19. Malorosiyanov D.
74. Orlov M.
53. Pedan R.
41. Voronin K.
28. Chivilyov A.
93. Belevich A.
23. Gauthier F.
90. Chefanov I.
13. Yarovoy S.
Line 4
3. Steklov K.
2. Golovkov I. (A)
9. Kagarlitsky D. (A)
21. Savchik I.
67. Savunov D.
87. Tsitsyura V.
16. Atanasov V.
86. Vorobyov I.
Substitutes
60. Bocharov I. (G)
44. Shikin D. (G)
80. Shavin N.
Coaches
. Larionov I.
. Desyatkov P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
07:48, Thompson K. (2 min),
09:51, 0 - 1, Vorobyov I. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:42, 1 - 1, Firstov V. (G), Thompson K. (A), Steklov K. (A2)
13:56, Galuzin V. (2 min),
18:36, Letunov M. (2 min),
19:53, Chekhovich I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
15:26, Firstov V. (2 min),
19:09, Chivilyov A. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Chekhovich I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Firstov V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Makeyev A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Atanasov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Buchelnikov D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Chefanov I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Barach D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tertyshny N. (Penalty Shot),
5, Galuzin V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Kagarlitsky D. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Torpedo NN won 1.
Recent matches Torpedo NN is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vityaz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Torpedo NN could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Torpedo NN is a favorite.
There will not play in Torpedo NN: Abramov M.
(Injury)
Misnikov A.
(Injury)
Svishchyov K.
(Injury)
Voynov V.
(Injury)
There will not play in Vityaz: Daryin A.
(Injury)
Vashchenko G.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Torpedo NN won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 64:40 (average 3.2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo NN won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:18 (average 3.3:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Vityaz Balashikha - the odds 4.14 are the expected chance of winning is 23.37%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.