Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: SKA Arena (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA Saint Petersburg		Vityaz Balashikha

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.66	5.63
	1.46	5.1	6.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.81)	4.88 ↑ (4.06)	5.94 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Saint Petersburg
64.8%

Draw
19.3%

Vityaz Balashikha
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

23.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

20.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SKA Saint Petersburg's performance.

Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vityaz Balashikha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA Saint Petersburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vityaz Balashikha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vityaz will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Pleshkov A. (G)	83. Dorozhko M. (G)
22. Zaitsev N.	79. Roy J. (A)
44. Yudin D.	53. Pedan R.
16. Plotnikov S. (C)	82. Chekhovich I.
42. Vorobyov M.	26. Barach D.
91. Demidov I.	72. Buchelnikov D.
Line 2
8. Zemchyonok A.	18. Stewart D.
89. Karpukhin I.	7. Busygin Y.
14. Polyakov N.	21. Savchik I.
70. Bardakov Z. (A)	87. Tsitsyura V.
90. Zykov V.	86. Vorobyov I.
Line 3
9. Sapego S.	9. Valentsov V.
3. Pedan A.	2. Golovkov I. (A)
72. Alistrov V.	28. Chivilyov A.
25. Grigorenko M. (A)	23. Gauthier F.
18. Akolzin P.	13. Yarovoy S.
Line 4
97. Nugmanov A.	19. Malorosiyanov D.
79. Galenyuk D.	74. Makeyev A.
52. Dedunov P.	10. Galuzin V.
71. Korotky M.	8. Zaseda M. (C)
59. Kuzmin G.
Substitutes
39. Moysevich P. (G)	31. Kareyev A. (G)
Coaches
. Rotenberg R.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:12, Bardakov Z. (2 min),
11:06, Buchelnikov D. (2 min),
13:29, 1 - 0, Demidov I. (G), Plotnikov S. (A), Grigorenko M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:34, 2 - 0, Polyakov N. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Zykov V. (A2)
14:59, Demidov I. (2 min),
14:59, Vorobyov I. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:39, Busygin Y. (2 min),
00:56, 2 - 1, Tsitsyura V. (G), Pedan R. (A),
02:50, Chivilyov A. (2 min),
04:58, 3 - 1, Demidov I. (G), Galenyuk D. (A), Plotnikov S. (A2)
07:10, Nugmanov A. (2 min),
17:27, 4 - 1, Demidov I. (G),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

SKA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently SKA have a series of home games.

In this match SKA is a favorite.

There will not play in SKA: Kuznetsov E. (Injury) Nikishin A. (Injury)

There will not play in Vityaz: Daryin A. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches SKA won 18 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 94:35 (average 4.7:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams SKA won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 41:14 (average 4.6:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

SKA Saint Petersburg - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.54%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Vityaz Balashikha - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 24.04%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
25.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2 ✺
23.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Dynamo Moscow	3:5 ✺
21.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:2 ✺
16.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	4:7 ✺
13.01.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL
- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
25.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Kunlun	1:2 ✺
22.01.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Vityaz Balashikha	3:4 ✺
20.01.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:3 ✺
18.01.25	Lada Togliatti - Vityaz Balashikha	2:6 ✺
15.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
05.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	5:2
21.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:8
10.01.24	Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:4
03.01.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	6:1
01.12.23	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 OT
04.11.23	Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:3 penalties
30.12.22	Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg	6:5 OT

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