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Current Win Probability
Tri-City Americans 55.7%
Draw 19.3%
Moose Jaw Warriors 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
20.6%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
22%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tri-City Americans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tri-City Americans's performance.
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tri-City Americans than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tri-City Americans that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moose Jaw Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Wendt X. (G)
33. Jones K. (G)
71. Abougouche I.
19. Brown C.
3. Adam J.
8. Carter C.
10. Bouchard A.
12. Degagne W.
19. Bowes S.
16. Degenstein N.
4. Byrne D.
26. Hirst B.
12. Dale C.
22. Lajoie M.
66. Garland G. (A)
7. McFadden L.
13. Kingerski C.
20. McKenzie P.
11. Koch C.
36. Nagel G.
73. Krcal D.
2. Ness B. (C)
20. Laing A.
45. Pavlik D.
2. LeBret D.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
28. Martin G.
14. Semeniuk E.
17. McKinnon J.
47. Smith C.
9. Pavao C.
15. Steranka S.
88. Racz T.
38. Thorpe R.
21. Savage C.
43. Trefny J.
25. Vanecek J.
3. Williams C.
16. Virk S.
21. Ziprick A. (A)
Substitutes
35. Grout R. (G)
1. Mingo D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
06:36, 0 - 1, Ziprick A. (G), Brown C. (A), Carter C. (A2)
12:01, 1 - 1, Martin G. (G), Pavao C. (A), Koch C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:40, 1 - 2, Schmidt C. (G), Thorpe R. (A),
16:27, 1 - 3, Ziprick A. (G), Lajoie M. (A), Nagel G. (A2)
18:37, 2 - 3, Vanecek J. (G), Dale C. (A),
3rd Period (5 - 0)
06:04, 3 - 3, Vanecek J. (G), Pavao C. (A),
08:40, 4 - 3, Dale C. (G), Virk S. (A), Gudelj J. (A2)
17:46, 5 - 3, Pavao C. (G), LeBret D. (A), Vanecek J. (A2)
18:17, 6 - 3, Adam J. (G), Pavao C. (A),
19:16, 7 - 3, Adam J. (G), Bouchard A. (A), Martin G. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tri-City won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tri-City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Tri-City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tri-City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:38. (average 3.6:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tri-City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 4.6:4.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Tri-City Americans - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.61%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Moose Jaw Warriors - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Wendt X. (G) 
Abougouche I. 
Krcal D. 
Racz T. 
Virk S. 
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