Match Info

ECHL

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Colisée Vidéotron (Trois-Rivières, QC)


	Trois-Rivières Lions		Worcester Railers

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.2	2.75
	1.24	6.16	8.30	Watch
	1.95	4.2	2.75
	2.01	4.05	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.09)	4.65 ↑ (4.3)	4.16 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trois-Rivières Lions
55.1%

Draw
21.2%

Worcester Railers
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

21.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

23.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trois-Rivières Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trois-Rivières Lions's performance.

Worcester Railers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Worcester Railers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trois-Rivières Lions than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trois-Rivières Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester Railers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Worcester Railers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trois Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Gaudreau B. (G)	35. Gahagen P. (G)
32. Adams-Moisan M.	25. Acosta K.
91. Beauregard A.	88. Blanchard G.
42. Bizier M.	77. Callin D.
21. Desruisseaux C.	74. Carson M.
27. Dion J.	37. DeMelis M.
10. Dufort I.	29. Donhauser C.
77. Dunlap J.	7. Dorrington M.
17. Estapa M.	28. Federkow C.
44. Fuller L.	8. Ferrandino M.
92. Girouard N.	11. Hatten L.
88. Kidney R.	6. McDonald C.
20. Laferriere M.	10. Miotto R.
24. Louis-Jean D.	16. Mitton R.
47. Martin C.	4. Odelius C.
19. Mianscum I.	19. Piercey R.
6. Paquette J.	81. Repaci A.
22. Poulin A.	14. Samuelsson A.
11. Serensits E.	18. Suda M.
Substitutes
90. Lapenna F. (G)	33. Gale T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:59, 1 - 0, Dion J. (G), Beauregard A. (A), Dufort I. (A2)
06:22, 2 - 0, Bizier M. (G), Dion J. (A), Estapa M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:47, 2 - 1, Piercey R. (G),
14:29, 2 - 2, Odelius C. (G), Suda M. (A), Dorrington M. (A2)
18:36, 3 - 2, Dufort I. (G), Beauregard A. (A), Dion J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:24, 3 - 3, Carson M. (G), Dorrington M. (A), Piercey R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Beauregard A. (Penalty Shot),
1, DeMelis M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kidney R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Hatten L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Adams-Moisan M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Miotto R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Laferriere M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Repaci A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Girouard N. (Penalty Shot),
5, Carson M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trois-Rivières won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trois-Rivières may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Trois-Rivières has had a series of home games.

Recently, Worcester has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Trois-Rivières won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 3.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trois-Rivières won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 3.9:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Trois-Rivières Lions - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trois-Rivières Lions
ECHL
07.03.26	Trois-Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers	6:4 ✺
06.03.26	Trois-Rivières Lions - Maine Mariners	3:5 ✺
01.03.26	Maine Mariners - Trois-Rivières Lions	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Trois-Rivières Lions - Toledo Walleye	4:3 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Trois-Rivières Lions - Toledo Walleye	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWL
- Worcester Railers
ECHL
07.03.26	Trois-Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers	6:4 ✺
01.03.26	Worcester Railers - Adirondack Thunder	1:0 OT ✺
21.02.26	Rapid City Rush - Worcester Railers	5:3 ✺
20.02.26	Rapid City Rush - Worcester Railers	4:5 OT ✺
19.02.26	Rapid City Rush - Worcester Railers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ECHL
07.03.26	Trois-Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers	6:4
15.02.26	Worcester Railers - Trois-Rivières Lions	1:4
14.02.26	Worcester Railers - Trois-Rivières Lions	2:3 OT
13.02.26	Worcester Railers - Trois-Rivières Lions	0:2
07.02.26	Trois-Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers	3:2 OT
30.03.25	Trois-Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers	5:2
29.03.25	Trois-Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers	4:2

Trois-Rivières Lions - Worcester Railers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide