The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troja Ljungby 17.8%
Draw 18.8%
Kalmar 63.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
19.5%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
19.8%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Troja Ljungby - Kalmar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
37. Stalberg J. (G)
65. Crespin J. (G)
18. Hedberg T.
27. Nilsson H.
59. Wytinck Z.
15. Lerby C.
20. Lennstrom F.
90. Hawel L.
19. McShane A.
63. Fonteyne M.
24. Olsson H.
21. Struthers M.
Line 2
16. Froland D.
4. Diliberatore P.
57. Ehrnberg C.
9. Westlund W.
77. Frattaroli B.
68. Levin E.
22. Salqvist I.
61. Vilen E.
96. Skager L.
14. Diaco G.
Line 3
43. Arvedson A.
19. Sustr A.
6. Ernstig C.
20. Walford S.
73. Gradin A.
73. Johansson V.
13. Wemmenborn A.
50. Ekmark E.
8. Nilsson A.
94. Storm A.
Line 4
76. Jarbsjo M.
5. Aronsson T.
10. Kakela L.
71. Olsson G.
9. Warg L.
86. Estephan G.
18. Linden J.
Substitutes
88. Hellstrom F.
30. Delia C. (G)
35. Holm V. (G)
11. Wigley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:23, 1 - 0, Lennstrom F. (G), McShane A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:41, 2 - 0, Gradin A. (G), Nilsson A. (A),
12:38, 2 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Westlund W. (A), Diliberatore P. (A2)
19:19, 3 - 1, Skager L. (G), Hedberg T. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Kalmar is Qualified for HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 0.
Troja Ljungby is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kalmar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Troja Ljungby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Troja Ljungby has had a series of home games.
In this match, Kalmar is a strong favorite.
We predict that Kalmar will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 40:56. (average 2.5:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Troja Ljungby won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 3.1:2.9).