Match Info

USA: AHL

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tucson Convention Center (Tucson, AZ) 🌤️ ...


	Tucson Roadrunners		Rockford IceHogs

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.6	Watch
	2.12	4.05	2.8	Watch
	2.13	4.2	2.81
	2.07	4.21	2.78	Watch
	2.2	4	2.5
	2.1	4.2	2.74	Watch
	2.12	4.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.23)	4.1 ↓ (4.38)	2.72 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucson Roadrunners
43.5%

Draw
22.5%

Rockford IceHogs
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

21.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

20.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucson Roadrunners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rockford IceHogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockford IceHogs than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Tucson Roadrunners - Rockford IceHogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Stauber J. (G)	33. Commesso D. (G)
29. Agozzino A. (A)	42. Allan N.
26. Barron T. (A)	22. Anderson J.
44. Connauton K.	13. Baddock B.
28. Douglas C.	63. Cates J.
36. Drew H.	46. Crevier L.
78. Duda A.	20. Fitzgerald C. (A)
39. Hebig C.	74. Gagnier R.
10. Lamoureux M.	70. Guttman C. (A)
43. Lutz J.	92. Hayes G.
22. McCartney B.	14. Korchinski K.
79. Onyebuchi M.	93. Kuzmin D.
27. Poganski A. (C)	55. Levshunov A.
38. Raty Aku	90. Ludwinski P.
5. Russo R.	43. Luypen J.
13. Sokolov Y.	26. Mayhew G.
55. Szuber M.	12. Sanford Z.
25. Walker S.	67. Savoie S.
56. Yamamoto K.	62. Seney B. (C)
Substitutes
31. Villalta M. (G)	80. Weeks M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:40, 0 - 1, Sanford Z. (G), Seney B. (A), Crevier L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:28, 0 - 2, Kuzmin D. (G), Guttman C. (A), Hayes G. (A2)
16:08, 1 - 2, Agozzino A. (G), Yamamoto K. (A), McCartney B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
10:01, 2 - 2, Sokolov Y. (G), Walker S. (A), Russo R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:36, 2 - 3, Sanford Z. (G), Seney B. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tucson won 1.

Tucson is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rockford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Tucson to win the game is with odds 2.54.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tucson won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:34 (average 3.2:3.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tucson won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:19 (average 3.6:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.52%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Rockford IceHogs - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.34%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
28.02.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Rockford IceHogs	5:1 ✺
23.02.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Abbotsford Canucks	4:3 OT ✺
22.02.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Abbotsford Canucks	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Tucson Roadrunners	5:2 ✺
16.02.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW
- Rockford IceHogs
AHL
28.02.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Rockford IceHogs	5:1 ✺
23.02.25	Chicago Wolves - Rockford IceHogs	4:2 ✺
22.02.25	Rockford IceHogs - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	4:5 ✺
21.02.25	Rockford IceHogs - Iowa Wild	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Iowa Wild - Rockford IceHogs	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
28.02.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Rockford IceHogs	5:1
10.04.22	Rockford IceHogs - Tucson Roadrunners	5:3
09.04.22	Rockford IceHogs - Tucson Roadrunners	4:2
02.04.22	Tucson Roadrunners - Rockford IceHogs	3:6
01.04.22	Tucson Roadrunners - Rockford IceHogs	3:4 OT
09.02.19	Rockford IceHogs - Tucson Roadrunners	3:5
08.02.19	Rockford IceHogs - Tucson Roadrunners	3:1

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