Match Info

AHL

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lee's Family Forum (Henderson, NV) 🌤️ ...


	Henderson Silver Knights		Tucson Roadrunners

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.3	2.45	Watch
	2.40	4.00	2.40
	2.4	4.09	2.42
	2.4	4.17	2.41
	2.38	4.28	2.43	Watch
	2.35	4.2	2.35
	2.39	4.28	2.39	Watch
	2.35	4.15	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.39)	4.18 ↓ (4.29)	2.41 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henderson Silver Knights
39.2%

Draw
22.2%

Tucson Roadrunners
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

21.8%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

23.1%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Moysevich P. (G)	30. Stauber J. (G)
8. Cataford M.	55. Biber G.
51. Cormier L.	67. Borikov Y.
84. Davies J.	18. Desnoyers C.
13. Demek J.	39. Hebig C.
50. Fleming J.	4. Holt B.
73. Ginning A.	77. Iginla T.
38. Gustafson J.	6. Jones Z.
59. Hallum J.	3. Lavoie T.
63. Hemmerling B.	22. McCartney B. (A)
74. Kmec J. V.	13. Moroz V.
75. McLain M. (A)	79. Onyebuchi M.
88. Megna J. (C)	27. Poganski A. (C)
46. Rondbjerg J. (A)	21. Rooney K. (A)
25. Sapovaliv M.	90. Roy J.
76. Swick T.	5. Russo R.
6. Tuomisto A.	9. Smith G.
37. Uronen T.	23. Tanev B.
18. Weiermair A.	25. Walker S.
Substitutes
39. Whitehead C. (G)	35. Hrabal M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:24, 0 - 1, Hebig C. (G), McCartney B. (A), Poganski A. (A2)
06:09, 0 - 2, Poganski A. (G), Desnoyers C. (A), Iginla T. (A2)
13:15, 1 - 2, Ginning A. (G), Gustafson J. (A), Uronen T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:40, 1 - 3, Hebig C. (G), McCartney B. (A), Iginla T. (A2)
12:56, 1 - 4, Roy J. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Henderson has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:61 (averaging 3.5:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Henderson against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 39:34 goals (averaging 3.3:2.8 per game).

Outrights of AHL for now

Henderson Silver Knights: 3.1% Tucson Roadrunners: 3.1%

Last Results with these Odds

Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henderson Silver Knights
AHL
23.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:1 OT ✺
17.10.26	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	2:5 ✺
14.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Coachella Valley Firebirds	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	San Diego Gulls - Henderson Silver Knights	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL
- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
23.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:1 OT ✺
17.10.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Diego Gulls	2:3 OT ✺
16.10.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Diego Gulls	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
23.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:1 OT
18.04.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	5:4
17.04.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	2:1 penalties
04.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	5:4
03.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3
11.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	6:7 OT
10.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	0:5

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