Match Info

AHL

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lee's Family Forum (Henderson, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Henderson Silver Knights		Tucson Roadrunners

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	2.63	Watch
	2.15	4.15	2.7
	2.15	4.3	2.67
	2.13	4.38	2.69	Watch
	2.05	4.2	2.7
	2.1	4.15	2.69	Watch
	2.28	3.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	4.18 ↑ (3.9)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henderson Silver Knights
43.3%

Draw
22%

Tucson Roadrunners
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

23.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henderson Silver Knights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lindbom C. (G)	35. Hrabal M. (G)
42. Bowman B.	29. Agozzino A. (A)
12. Brabenec J.	12. Allard O.
47. Cholach A.	4. Brandon H.
52. Coghlan D.	50. But D.
24. Connelly T.	39. Hebig C.
84. Davies J.	10. Lamoureux M.
50. Fleming J.	71. Lipkin S.
63. Hemmerling B.	43. Lutz J.
41. Hickey B.	94. Matikka M.
11. Holtz A.	22. McCartney B. (A)
74. Kmec J. V.	42. Moore L.
28. Laczynski T.	45. Nordh N.
36. Lavoie R.	79. Onyebuchi M.
75. McLain M.	27. Poganski A. (C)
88. Megna J. (C)	15. Ricketts J.
46. Rondbjerg J. (A)	5. Russo R.
25. Sapovaliv M.	55. Szuber M.
77. Uchacz K. (A)	25. Walker S.
Substitutes
39. Whitehead C. (G)	31. Villalta M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
07:06, 0 - 1, But D. (G), Poganski A. (A),
10:22, 1 - 1, Lavoie R. (G), Connelly T. (A), Sapovaliv M. (A2)
13:43, 1 - 2, Poganski A. (G), Russo R. (A), But D. (A2)
15:11, 2 - 2, Rondbjerg J. (G), Bowman B. (A), Davies J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:54, 3 - 2, Bowman B. (G), Brabenec J. (A), McLain M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:04, 3 - 3, Walker S. (G), Moore L. (A), McCartney B. (A2)
14:13, 3 - 4, Walker S. (G), Hebig C. (A),
18:34, 4 - 4, Coghlan D. (G), Bowman B. (A), Lavoie R. (A2)
19:44, 5 - 4, Bowman B. (G), Sapovaliv M. (A), Coghlan D. (A2)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 4.

Henderson is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tucson has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tucson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Henderson will win today's game, with odds of 2.1.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 64:70. (average 3.2:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Henderson won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:40. (average 3:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Henderson Silver Knights - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henderson Silver Knights
AHL
03.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3 ✺
28.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Henderson Silver Knights	1:4 ✺
27.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Henderson Silver Knights	3:2 OT ✺
25.03.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Ontario Reign	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Texas Stars	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWW
- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
03.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3 ✺
01.04.26	San Diego Gulls - Tucson Roadrunners	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign	4:2 ✺
27.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign	2:3 ✺
23.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Tucson Roadrunners	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
03.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3
11.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	6:7 OT
10.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	0:5
25.01.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:3 OT
24.01.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3
05.10.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:0
04.10.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:1

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