Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday


	Tverichi		Dizelist Penza

	1	X	2
	4.21	4.9	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (4.2)	4.9 (4.9)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tverichi
21.8%

Draw
18.7%

Dizelist Penza
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

18.5%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

16.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tverichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tverichi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dizelist Penza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
06:59, 1 - 0, Kozhevnikov D. (G), Tyan V. (A), Bulkin N. (A2)
08:00, 1 - 1, Karpin G. (G), Frolov Y. (A), Golovinov K. (A2)
10:55, 1 - 2, Vlasenkov S. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 5)
00:23, 1 - 3, Shushurin G. (G), Filippov T. (A), Chernov V. (A2)
01:18, 1 - 4, Frolov Y. (G), Yamaletdinov R. (A),
02:09, 1 - 5, Chernov V. (G), Shaikhutdinov T. (A), Shushurin G. (A2)
11:04, 1 - 6, Yamaletdinov R. (G), Suvorov D. (A),
13:06, 1 - 7, Yamaletdinov R. (G), Grushin E. (A), Kutuzov I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
02:13, 1 - 8, Yamaletdinov R. (G), Matveyev I. (A),
02:49, 2 - 8, Novikov D. (G), Bulkin N. (A),
08:09, 2 - 9, Shushurin G. (G), Shaikhutdinov T. (A), Filippov T. (A2)
19:54, 2 - 10, Grushin E. (G), Filippov T. (A), Karpin G. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tverichi won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Dizelist could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Dizelist is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tverichi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 44:83 (average 2.2:4.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Tverichi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:43 (average 2.2:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHK Tverichi
RHL
04.12.24	Tverichi - Dizelist Penza	0:4 ✺
26.11.24	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Tverichi	4:5 ✺
25.11.24	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Tverichi	5:2 ✺
23.11.24	Progress Glazov - Tverichi	2:4 ✺
22.11.24	Progress Glazov - Tverichi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWLWL
- Dizelist Penza
RHL
04.12.24	Tverichi - Dizelist Penza	0:4 ✺
01.12.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	5:2 ✺
30.11.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:1 OT ✺
20.11.24	Kristall Berdsk - Dizelist Penza	1:4 ✺
19.11.24	Kristall Berdsk - Dizelist Penza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
04.12.24	Tverichi - Dizelist Penza	0:4
28.01.24	Tverichi - Dizelist Penza	2:4
27.01.24	Tverichi - Dizelist Penza	1:8
20.10.23	Dizelist Penza - Tverichi	4:1
19.10.23	Dizelist Penza - Tverichi	4:3
29.01.22	Dizelist Penza - Tverichi	3:0
28.01.22	Dizelist Penza - Tverichi	5:3

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