Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Providence Friars		Merrimack Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.85	5.6
	1.5	4.98	4.96
	1.4	4.6	5.5
	1.42	5	5.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	4.86 ↑ (4.75)	5.3 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Providence Friars
63.9%

Draw
18.8%

Merrimack Warriors
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

19.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

20.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 3.

Providence has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Merrimack has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Merrimack may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Providence is a strong favorite.

We predict that Providence will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Providence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 3.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Merrimack Warriors: 1.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Providence Friars hockey
NCAA Hockey
07.03.26	Providence Friars - Connecticut Huskies	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	New Hampshire Wildcats - Providence Friars	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - Providence Friars	3:5 ✺
20.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - Providence Friars	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Providence Friars - Northeastern Huskies	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW
- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
11.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
05.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
21.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:2 ✺
20.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:3 ✺
14.02.26	Boston College Eagles - Merrimack Warriors	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
02.03.24	Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors	4:2
01.03.24	Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars	2:1
14.01.23	Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars	3:0
13.01.23	Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars	3:8
31.12.22	Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars	1:6
10.12.22	Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors	2:3

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