Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Sport
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Switzerland	SRF


	USA		Latvia

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.8	4.5	Watch
	1.62	4.5	4.33
	1.64	5	3.95
	1.63	5.01	3.79
	1.53	5.5	4.33
	1.61	5.15	4.2	Watch
	1.66	5.35	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	5.04 ↑ (4.75)	4.21 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
58.7%

Draw
18.8%

Latvia
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

19.9%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

18.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Latvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

USA - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Latvia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Latvia: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches USA won 4.

Now both teams are in good shape.

USA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match USA is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches USA won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA hockey
IIHF World Championship
27.05.23	USA - Germany	3:4 OT ✺
25.05.23	USA - Czech Republic	3:0 ✺
23.05.23	Sweden - USA	3:4 OT ✺
21.05.23	USA - France	9:0 ✺
20.05.23	USA - Denmark	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Latvia hockey
IIHF World Championship
27.05.23	Canada - Latvia	4:2 ✺
25.05.23	Sweden - Latvia	1:3 ✺
23.05.23	Switzerland - Latvia	3:4 OT ✺
20.05.23	Kazakhstan - Latvia	0:7 ✺
19.05.23	Latvia - Slovenia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
13.05.22	USA - Latvia	4:1
27.05.21	USA - Latvia	4:2
10.05.18	USA - Latvia	3:2 OT
13.05.17	Latvia - USA	3:5
15.05.14	USA - Latvia	5:6
05.05.13	Latvia - USA	1:4

USA - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide