Match Info

WCH IA

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Winter Stadium (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Ukraine		Japan

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.5	5.75	Watch
	1.54	4.55	4.8	Watch
	1.47	4.96	5.34
	1.41	5.6	5.5	Watch
	1.43	4.85	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	5.09 ↑ (5.03)	5.37 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukraine
64.3%

Draw
18.3%

Japan
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

18.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ukraine - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Japan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Dyachenko B. (G) Bytom	29. Otsuka I. (G) Nikko Ice Bucks
7. Merezhko I. (C) Plzen	6. Murakami R.
27. Sysak I. Feltre	4. Yoneyama K. Tohoku Free Blades
21. Vorona O. (A) Torun	17. Hanzawa C. HL Anyang
12. Fadyeyev Y. Limburg	22. Nakajima T. (C) Red Eagles Hokkaido
23. Trakht D. Lukko Rauman	24. Sato Y. Dynamo Altay (VHL)
Line 2
24. Matusevych D. Kremenchuk	2. Hayata S. Nikko Ice Bucks
19. Grebenik A.	5. Halliday J. Red Eagles Hokkaido
17. Peresunko A. Oswiecim	10. Keller J. Kamloops Blazers
16. Kupriyanov I. Jihlava	18. Suzuki F.
9. Lyalka V. (A) Kremenchuk	26. Hirano Y. (A) Dusseldorf
Line 3
26. Ratushnyi Y. Storm Odesa	20. Otsu Y. HL Anyang
8. Dakhnovsky O. Kosice	23. Takebe T. Red Eagles Hokkaido
11. Deniskin A. Torun	13. Miura Y. Iowa Heartlanders
22. Buzoverya A. Coventry	15. Irikura T. (A) Red Eagles Hokkaido
14. Morozov F. Morzine-Avoriaz	9. Takagi K. Red Eagles Hokkaido
Line 4
5. Kosarev M. Stavanger	25. Isogai S. Red Eagles Hokkaido
20. Borodai D. Sokil Kyiv (UHL)	14. Osawa Y. Yokohama Grits
45. Zakharov V. Sokil Kyiv (UHL)	12. Suzuki M. Nikko Ice Bucks
18. Oleynik N. Sokil Kyiv (UHL)
Substitutes
1. Levshyn A. (G) Prince George Cougars	16. Kobayashi T. Red Eagles Hokkaido
6. Sadovikov S. Zlin	1. Narisawa Y. (G) Red Eagles Hokkaido

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
10:45, 0 - 1, Murakami R. (G), Sato Y. (A), Nakajima T. (A2)
13:09, 1 - 1, Peresunko A. (G),
15:11, 2 - 1, Dakhnovsky O. (G), Trakht D. (A), Vorona O. (A2)
17:24, 3 - 1, Trakht D. (G), Vorona O. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 0.

In recent matches, Japan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ukraine is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 1.3:3.1).

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Ukraine	5	2	1	1	1	16:10	9
4	Japan	5	2	0	1	2	14:16	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ukraine hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
07.05.26	Ukraine - Kazakhstan	4:5 penalties ✺
05.05.26	France - Ukraine	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Ukraine - Lithuania	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Poland - Ukraine	3:2 ✺
European Cup of Nations Hockey
07.02.26	Slovenia - Ukraine	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLW
- Japan hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
07.05.26	Japan - Poland	2:4 ✺
05.05.26	Lithuania - Japan	2:3 OT ✺
03.05.26	Kazakhstan - Japan	6:0 ✺
02.05.26	Japan - France	3:4 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
25.04.26	Hungary - Japan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IA
03.05.25	Japan - Ukraine	3:2
IIHF World Championship IB
29.04.23	Japan - Ukraine	5:3
30.04.22	Japan - Ukraine	8:2
28.04.19	Ukraine - Japan	2:3
28.04.18	Ukraine - Japan	1:7
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
14.02.16	Japan - Ukraine	2:1
IIHF World Championship IA
25.04.15	Japan - Ukraine	3:1

Ukraine - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide