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Current Win Probability
Utah Mammoth 39.1%
Draw 23.2%
Dallas Stars 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
23.3%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
22.2%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utah Mammoth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Utah Mammoth - Dallas Stars Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Utah will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Utah: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 6, OT - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Utah Mammoth will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Vejmelka K. (G)
1. DeSmith C. (G)
50. Durzi S.
4. Heiskanen M. (A)
98. Sergachyov M. (A)
23. Lindell E. (A)
67. Crouse L. (A)
96. Rantanen M.
8. Schmaltz N.
53. Johnston W.
9. Keller C. (C)
49. Hryckowian J.
Line 2
6. Marino J.
5. Lundkvist N.
88. Schmidt N.
55. Harley T.
19. But D.
22. Bourque M.
27. Hayton B.
24. Hintz R.
77. Peterka J.
21. Robertson J.
Line 3
57. Desimone N.
28. Petrovic A.
28. Cole I.
20. Capobianco K.
56. Yamamoto K.
14. Benn Ja. (C)
22. McBain J.
95. Duchene M.
53. Carcone M.
18. Steel S.
Line 4
38. O'Brien L.
73. Erne A.
82. Stenlund K.
12. Faksa R.
13. Tanev B.
10. Back O.
Substitutes
41. Vanecek V. (G)
29. Oettinger J. (G)
Coaches
. Tourigny A.
. Gulutzan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
00:48, Durzi S. (2 min),
02:11, 0 - 1, Harley T. (G), Bourque M. (A), Benn Ja. (A2)
06:38, McBain J. (2 min),
07:40, 0 - 2, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Heiskanen M. (A2)
10:23, 1 - 2, Yamamoto K. (G), Peterka J. (A), Marino J. (A2)
10:35, (2 min),
13:04, Rantanen M. (2 min),
16:37, 1 - 3, Duchene M. (G), Benn Ja. (A), Steel S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
12:37, McBain J. (2 min),
12:37, Hintz R. (2 min),
19:01, Schmidt N. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:40, 2 - 3, Yamamoto K. (G), Peterka J. (A), Hayton B. (A2)
12:13, Schmidt N. (2 min),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah won 2.
In recent matches, Utah has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dallas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Utah has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Utah: Cooley L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Guenther D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kerfoot A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lyubushkin I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Seguin T.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Utah won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 2.5:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Utah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
Outrights of NHL for now
Dallas Stars: 4.52% Utah Mammoth: 3.47%
Last Results with these Odds
Utah Mammoth - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Dallas Stars - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.