The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vegas Golden Knights 41.4%
Draw 22.9%
Dallas Stars 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
22.8%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
23.9%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Vegas Golden Knights - Dallas Stars Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
01:37, 0 - 1, Duchene M. (G), Steel S. (A), Benn Ja. (A2)
03:35, Robertson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
04:07, 1 - 1, Kolesar K. (G), Marner M. (A),
08:46, 1 - 2, Bourque M. (G), Hintz R. (A), Robertson J. (A2)
10:13, Lauzon J. (2 min),
14:16, 1 - 3, Bourque M. (G), Benn Ja. (A), Steel S. (A2)
16:43, 1 - 4, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:15, Eichel J. (2 min),
04:04, 2 - 4, Smith R. (G), Kolesar K. (A),
13:54, 3 - 4, Barbashev I. (G), Andersson R. (A), Stone M. (A2)
19:11, 4 - 4, Marner M. (G), Hertl T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Robertson J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Dorofeyev P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Duchene M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Eichel J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rantanen M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 2.
Vegas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dallas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vegas has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Vegas: Hart C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Howden B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McNabb B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Saad B.
(Injury)
Sissons C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lyubushkin I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Seguin T.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 58:44. (average 2.9:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 2.7:2.7).
Outrights of NHL for now
Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Dallas Stars: 4.52%
Last Results with these Odds
Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.2%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
Dallas Stars - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.04%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
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Hill A. (G) 
Oettinger J. (G) 
Heiskanen M. (A) 
Andersson R. 
Dorofeyev P. 
Hertl T. 
Schmid A. (G) 
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