The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utah Mammoth 43.1%
Draw 22.5%
Edmonton Oilers 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
22.2%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
21.5%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
18.2%
18.2%
Utah Mammoth - Edmonton Oilers Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Utah will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Edmonton will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Utah: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Vejmelka K. (G)
35. Jarry T. (G)
52. Weegar M.
2. Bouchard E.
98. Sergachyov M. (A)
14. Ekholm M.
67. Crouse L. (A)
22. Savoie M.
8. Schmaltz N.
97. McDavid C. (C)
9. Keller C. (C)
92. Podkolzin V.
Line 2
6. Marino J.
5. Murphy C.
88. Schmidt N.
25. Nurse D. (A)
11. Guenther D.
28. Roslovic J.
92. Cooley L.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)
56. Yamamoto K.
42. Kapanen K.
Line 3
50. Durzi S.
49. Emberson T.
28. Cole I.
96. Walman J.
53. Carcone M.
10. Frederic T.
15. Kerfoot A.
16. Dickinson J.
77. Peterka J.
34. Dach C.
Line 4
38. O'Brien L.
20. Lazar C.
82. Stenlund K.
19. Henrique A.
13. Tanev B.
46. Jones M.
Substitutes
41. Vanecek V. (G)
39. Ingram C. (G)
Coaches
. Tourigny A.
. Knoblauch K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
01:53, 1 - 0, Peterka J. (G), Cole I. (A), Carcone M. (A2)
02:04, 1 - 1, Lazar C. (G), Henrique A. (A), Ekholm M. (A2)
08:36, Keller C. (2 min),
08:56, 1 - 2, McDavid C. (G), Bouchard E. (A), Jarry T. (A2)
14:43, 1 - 3, Nugent-Hopkins R. (G), Kapanen K. (A),
16:12, Bouchard E. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
07:23, Emberson T. (2 min),
10:28, 2 - 3, Schmaltz N. (G), Keller C. (A), Crouse L. (A2)
10:46, Weegar M. (2 min),
15:19, 3 - 3, Cooley L. (G), Guenther D. (A), Durzi S. (A2)
16:06, 3 - 4, Podkolzin V. (G), Nurse D. (A), McDavid C. (A2)
18:11, Weegar M. (2 min),
19:24, 4 - 4, Schmaltz N. (G), Marino J. (A), Kerfoot A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:09, 4 - 5, Dach C. (G), Frederic T. (A), Dickinson J. (A2)
12:56, 5 - 5, Kerfoot A. (G), Durzi S. (A), Carcone M. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:25, Savoie M. (2 min),
00:33, 6 - 5, Keller C. (G), Sergachyov M. (A), Guenther D. (A2)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
Utah has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Edmonton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Edmonton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 2:5.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Utah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 2.5:4.5).