Match Info

AHL

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Adirondack Bank Center (Utica, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Utica Comets		Lehigh Valley Phantoms

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.1	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.27
	2.56	4.2	2.28
	2.56	4.23	2.26	Watch
	2.6	4	2.2
	2.51	3.92	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)	4.04 ↓ (4.19)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utica Comets
35.8%

Draw
22.8%

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

22.2%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.3%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utica Comets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lehigh Valley Phantoms has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Utica Comets - Lehigh Valley Phantoms Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Daws N. (G)	64. Bjarnason C. (G)
2. Addison C.	59. Bonk O.
4. Cholowski D.	21. Bump A.
15. Criscuolo K. (A)	23. Dorwart K.
9. Crookshank A. (A)	43. Eklind O.
58. Diotte M.	56. Gaucher J.
73. Edwards E.	72. Gendron A.
14. Gruden J.	3. Grans H.
24. Halonen B.	82. Guenette M. (A)
39. Hardman M.	15. Kyrou C.
18. Lachance S.	20. Marody C.
11. Legare N.	19. McDonald H.
13. Malone J.	25. Pederson L.
28. McLaughlin M.	90. Richard A.
21. Melovsky M.	22. Robertson T.
67. Parent X.	55. Sevigny V.
26. Schmelzer R. (C)	26. Tomasino P.
38. Vilen T.	17. Wilson G. (C)
6. White C.	74. Wisdom Z. (A)
Substitutes
31. Malek J. (G)	35. Kolosov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:15, 1 - 0, Parent X. (G),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
07:53, 2 - 0, Legare N. (G),
09:48, 3 - 0, Lachance S. (G), Schmelzer R. (A), Parent X. (A2)
13:10, 3 - 1, Eklind O. (G), Wilson G. (A), Wisdom Z. (A2)
18:25, 4 - 1, Halonen B. (G), Schmelzer R. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utica won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lehigh Valley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 62:67. (average 3.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Utica won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:30. (average 4:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Utica Comets - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 16% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utica Comets
AHL
28.02.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	1:5 ✺
27.02.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:3 ✺
25.02.26	Hershey Bears - Utica Comets	6:3 ✺
22.02.26	Utica Comets - Laval Rocket	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Utica Comets - Laval Rocket	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWL
- Lehigh Valley Phantoms
AHL
01.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hartford Wolf Pack	6:3 ✺
28.02.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:5 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Providence Bruins	4:6 ✺
21.02.26	Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	4:6 ✺
20.02.26	Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
06.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Utica Comets	3:2 OT
03.01.25	Utica Comets - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	2:4
09.11.24	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Utica Comets	4:3 OT
01.03.24	Utica Comets - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:0
27.12.23	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Utica Comets	5:4
12.03.23	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Utica Comets	5:2
30.12.22	Utica Comets - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:1

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