The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hershey Bears 43.8%
Draw 22.7%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
23.1%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
26.1%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hershey Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Lehigh Valley Phantoms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hershey Bears that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lehigh Valley Phantoms could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Gibson M. (G)
64. Bjarnason C. (G)
7. Belpedio L. (A)
59. Bonk O.
38. Bohlsen K.
21. Bump A.
5. Chesley R.
23. Dorwart K.
92. Clarke G.
56. Gaucher J.
20. Cristall A.
72. Gendron A.
19. Cruikshank G.
3. Grans H.
48. Gucciardi D.
82. Guenette M. (A)
25. Hofer R.
12. Kaplan D.
23. Leason B.
15. Kyrou C.
47. McDonald J.
20. Marody C.
10. Miroshnichenko I.
19. McDonald H.
40. Protas I.
25. Pederson L.
12. Rybinski H.
90. Richard A.
6. Schueneman C. (A)
22. Robertson T.
37. Smith D.
76. Schmidt R.
45. Strome M. (A)
26. Tomasino P.
44. Trineyev B.
17. Wilson G. (C)
4. Webb R.
74. Wisdom Z. (A)
Substitutes
31. Stevenson C. (G)
1. Perets Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
02:17, 1 - 0, McDonald J. (G), Cruikshank G. (A),
04:13, 1 - 1, Bump A. (G), Pederson L. (A), Robertson T. (A2)
10:01, 1 - 2, Bump A. (G), Tomasino P. (A), Kyrou C. (A2)
18:19, 1 - 3, Bonk O. (G), Guenette M. (A), Marody C. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
04:32, 1 - 4, Kyrou C. (G), Wisdom Z. (A), Wilson G. (A2)
05:34, 2 - 4, Rybinski H. (G),
06:15, 3 - 4, Rybinski H. (G),
08:30, 4 - 4, Bohlsen K. (G),
12:51, 4 - 5, Gendron A. (G), McDonald H. (A), Gaucher J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19', 4 - 6, (G),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 2.
Hershey has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lehigh Valley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Lehigh Valley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hershey has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:59. (average 3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.1:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Hershey Bears - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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Gibson M. (G) 
Bjarnason C. (G) 
Grans H. 
Miroshnichenko I. 
Protas I. 
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