Match Info

AHL

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Adirondack Bank Center (Utica, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Utica Comets		Belleville Senators

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	2.6	Watch
	2.28	4.1	2.5
	2.26	4.2	2.57
	2.23	4.27	2.59	Watch
	2.15	4.2	2.6
	2.26	4.05	2.45	Watch
	2.37	3.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	4.12 ↑ (3.8)	2.54 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utica Comets
41.3%

Draw
22.3%

Belleville Senators
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

24.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.8%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utica Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utica Comets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Utica Comets - Belleville Senators Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Daws N. (G)	31. Parsons J. (G)
2. Addison C.	58. Bolduc S.
15. Criscuolo K. (A)	16. Boucher T.
9. Crookshank A. (A)	13. Bourgault X.
58. Diotte M.	92. Clarke G.
73. Edwards E.	10. Daoust P. (A)
19. Filmon J.	8. Duarte M.
14. Gruden J.	29. Hamara T.
39. Hardman M.	14. Harrington S.
18. Lachance S.	42. Hodgson H. (A)
11. Legare N.	43. Kaliyev A.
21. Melovsky M.	21. Kidney R.
67. Parent X.	15. Lycksell O.
26. Schmelzer R. (C)	25. O'Rourke R.
12. Squires C.	32. Pettersson O.
7. Strand A.	22. Pilon G. (C)
55. van d. L. J.	19. Rees J.
37. Wendt D.	5. Stanley H.
6. White C.	44. Toure D.
Substitutes
31. Malek J. (G)	45. Reidler K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:52, 1 - 0, Legare N. (G),
10:41, 2 - 0, Melovsky M. (G), White C. (A), Crookshank A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
17:52, 3 - 0, Schmelzer R. (G),
18:38, 4 - 0, Hardman M. (G),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utica won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Belleville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Utica has had a series of away games.

Recently, Belleville has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Utica will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utica won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:68. (average 2.9:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Utica won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 3.2:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Utica Comets - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Belleville Senators - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utica Comets
AHL
01.04.26	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	2:3 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Cleveland Monsters - Utica Comets	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Cleveland Monsters - Utica Comets	3:5 ✺
25.03.26	Laval Rocket - Utica Comets	1:2 penalties ✺
21.03.26	Providence Bruins - Utica Comets	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWL
- Belleville Senators
AHL
03.04.26	Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators	2:5 ✺
28.03.26	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:5 ✺
20.03.26	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.03.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	7:3
06.03.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:2
28.02.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	1:5
27.02.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:3
18.01.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	5:4 penalties
28.12.25	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	7:0
14.11.25	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	3:4 penalties

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