Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Vaasan Sport U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.5	3.7
	1.58	5	3.2
	1.66	4.42	3.58
	1.69	4.54	3.65	Watch
	1.68	4.55	3.67
	1.62	4.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 (1.65)	4.6 ↑ (4.51)	3.57 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaasan Sport U20
55%

Draw
19.7%

SaiPa U20
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

20.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

19.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vaasan Sport U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

SaiPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
09:47, 1 - 0, Petrovics B. (G), Koivunen W. (A), Mourujarvi E. (A2)
14:16, 1 - 1, Zezelj A. (G), Zemlicka R. (A), Svensk S. (A2)
16:23, 1 - 2, Zemlicka R. (G), Zezelj A. (A), Svensk S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:57, 1 - 3, Mikhlin D. (G), Hokkanen I. (A), Moilanen V. (A2)
02:30, 1 - 4, Nummi L. (G), Chapuis M. (A), Hora V. (A2)
05:15, 1 - 5, Zemlicka R. (G), Sarkka E. (A), Kontunen O. (A2)
09:13, 2 - 5, Hult O. (G), Koivunen W. (A),
15:22, 3 - 5, Lassander J. (G), Andrey T. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:10, 4 - 5, Valtanen J. (G), Vanninen E. (A), Andrey T. (A2)
10:32, 4 - 6, Moilanen V. (G), Mikhlin D. (A), Ronkko J. (A2)
11:56, 4 - 7, Zezelj A. (G), Svensk S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 4.

In recent matches, Vaasan Sport U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SaiPa U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SaiPa U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vaasan Sport U20 is a strong favorite.

We predict that Vaasan Sport U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 66:61. (average 3.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vaasan Sport U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 3.9:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Pelicans U20	1:2 OT ✺
27.09.25	Tappara U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 penalties ✺
21.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - RoKi U20	5:3 ✺
20.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - KalPa U20	3:6 ✺
13.09.25	Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLW
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.10.25	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 OT ✺
28.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	5:3 ✺
21.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Jokerit U20	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	KooKoo U20 - SaiPa U20	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.02.25	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:3 OT
06.09.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	10:3
18.11.23	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3
09.09.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2 OT
06.01.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	2:1
04.11.22	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	6:1
14.01.22	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:3

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