Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	SaiPa U20		Tappara U20

	1	X	2
	2.92	4.26	1.91
	3.03	4.33	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	4.3 ↓ (4.43)	1.9 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
30.7%

Draw
21.3%

Tappara U20
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

20.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

20.3%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Tappara U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:35, 0 - 1, Mikkonen D. (G), Lehtosaari R. (A), Vanhatalo V. (A2)
08:22, 1 - 1, Kytovaara E. (G), Zezelj A. (A), Svensk V. (A2)
13:10, 2 - 1, Zezelj A. (G), Svensk S. (A), Ronkko J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 2.

SaiPa U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tappara U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tappara U20 has had a series of home games.

Tappara U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 44:61. (average 3.4:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 3.5:5.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	5:3 ✺
21.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Jokerit U20	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	KooKoo U20 - SaiPa U20	5:4 OT ✺
13.09.25	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	6:4 ✺
12.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWL
- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	Tappara U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 penalties ✺
21.09.25	Tappara U20 - JYP U20	4:3 ✺
20.09.25	Tappara U20 - HPK U20	5:4 ✺
13.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Tappara U20	5:1 ✺
12.09.25	Tappara U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.03.25	Tappara U20 - SaiPa U20	2:5
22.09.24	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	6:8
19.01.24	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	4:7
17.09.23	Tappara U20 - SaiPa U20	3:4 OT
08.10.22	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	2:9
16.10.21	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	0:2
02.10.20	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	2:4

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