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Current Win Probability
Vegas Golden Knights 46%
Draw 22.1%
Columbus Blue Jackets 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
19.8%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
19.4%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vegas Golden Knights's form might have worsened.
Columbus Blue Jackets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Blue Jackets's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vegas Golden Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Blue Jackets than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Blue Jackets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Vegas Golden Knights - Columbus Blue Jackets Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Columbus will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 21.7% – 78.3%.
08:24, 0 - 1, Jenner B. (G), Werenski Z. (A), Monahan S. (A2)
08:24, Hart C. ↓, Schmid A. ↑,
10:41, 0 - 2, Johnson K. (G), Monahan S. (A), Jenner B. (A2)
12:20, 1 - 2, Smith R. (G), Hutton B. (A), Marner M. (A2)
18:04, Kolesar K. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
05:19, 2 - 2, Smith R. (G), Marner M. (A), Stone M. (A2)
13:07, 3 - 2, Eichel J. (G), Barbashev I. (A), Stone M. (A2)
18:28, Olivier M. (2 min),
18:44, 4 - 2, Stone M. (G), Hertl T. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:39, Gaunce B. (2 min),
14:28, 4 - 3, Marchenko K. (G), Provorov I. (A), Fantilli A. (A2)
16:14, 5 - 3, Howden B. (G), Kolesar K. (A), Hertl T. (A2)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 3.
Vegas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Columbus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vegas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vegas: Hill A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McNabb B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Theodore S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Columbus: Gudbranson E.
(Hip Injury)
Lundestrom I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Marchment M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Smith B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wood M.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:40. (average 2.9:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 3.4:2.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Columbus Blue Jackets: 1.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.27%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.