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Current Win Probability
Verva Litvínov 41.9%
Draw 23.2%
Vítkovice Steel 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.2%
22.6%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
23.3%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verva Litvínov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verva Litvínov's form might have worsened.
Vítkovice Steel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vítkovice Steel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verva Litvínov than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verva Litvínov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vítkovice Steel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Verva Litvínov - Vítkovice Steel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Cajan P. (G)
49. Hrachovina D. (G)
81. Svozil S.
93. Holland R.
21. Balaz O.
38. Zboril J. (C)
25. Kase D.
21. Yetman C.
13. Kampf D. (A)
19. Nellis A.
73. Kase O. (A)
24. Abdul J.
Line 2
72. Jaks J.
8. Demel P.
27. Czuczman K.
79. Pavelka T.
10. Koblasa P.
14. Stransky S.
91. Sukel M. (C)
27. Hrivik M. (A)
34. Pistek T.
81. Cienciala D.
Line 3
36. Beran V.
26. Port V.
3. Polasek A.
12. Knazko S.
28. Sprynar J.
47. Lacka J.
87. Jicha J.
67. Hladonik J.
74. Mastalirsky M.
11. Kalus M. (A)
Line 4
20. Urban T.
5. Bruna P.
64. Jurcik O.
28. Bernovsky J.
75. Havelka M.
89. Sir J.
34. Macias K.
Substitutes
42. Tomek M. (G)
82. Petr D.
31. Svancara P. (G)
Coaches
. Reichel R.
. Treille Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
01:51, 0 - 1, Hladonik J. (G),
02:05, 0 - 2, Knazko S. (G), Macias K. (A), Bernovsky J. (A2)
09:48, Holland R. (5 min),
09:48, Havelka M. (5 min),
16:45, 0 - 3, Kalus M. (G), Hladonik J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
00:01, Cajan P. ↓, Tomek M. ↑,
14:20, Polasek A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:47, Macias K. (2 min),
10:13, 1 - 3, Kampf D. (G), Jicha J. (A),
13:38, 2 - 3, Sukel M. (G), Czuczman K. (A), Jaks J. (A2)
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Litvínov won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Vítkovice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Litvínov has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Litvínov holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Litvínov: Zygmunt P.
(Collarbone injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Litvínov: Husinecky V.
(Health problems)
Moravcik M.
(Abdominal strain).
Doubtful / questionable for Vítkovice: Leahy J.
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Litvínov in today's match, at odds of 1.96.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Litvínov has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:70 (averaging 2.9:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Litvínov against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 31:33 goals (averaging 3.1:3.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
11
Litvinov
16
6
1
1
8
36:42
21
13
Vitkovice
15
4
1
2
8
37:49
16
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Litvinov: 0.78% Vitkovice: 0.57%
Last Results with these Odds
Verva Litvínov - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Vítkovice Steel - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.24%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
Watch
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Cajan P. (G) 
Holland R. 
Jaks J. 
Sukel M. (C) 
Macias K. 
Treille Y. 
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