The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Victoria Royals 35.6%
Draw 21.1%
Portland Winterhawks 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
20.8%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
21.6%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria Royals's form might have worsened.
Portland Winterhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Winterhawks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Royals than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Winterhawks than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Eskit E. (G)
1. Stebetak O. (G)
23. Brown A.
28. Brown N.
89. Cooper M. (A)
72. Brown R.
16. Danyleyko W.
20. Christopherson L.
4. Fryer S.
22. Darby G.
9. Matthews C.
92. Domenichelli A.
47. McCarthy O.
9. Duguay J.
71. McKamey E.
17. Dyck C.
19. Moore H.
86. Free N.
22. Nelson H. (A)
27. Gustafson J.
25. Newman R. (C)
8. Matthews C.
11. Perreault L.
18. McDonough K. (A)
2. Peterson H.
24. McLaughlin W.
5. Runtso T.
23. Miller R. (C)
24. Silver M.
77. Psenicka M.
17. Stewart N.
12. Slobodian C. (A)
7. Vauhkonen O.
46. Spehar F.
28. Waltze C.
15. Spehar S.
93. Woodward R.
88. Weiermair A. (A)
74. Young L.
96. Wilfley L.
Substitutes
1. Pilon J. (G)
32. Chase C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
03:14, 1 - 0, Nelson H. (G), Matthews C. (A),
09:34, 1 - 1, Weiermair A. (G), Miller R. (A), Matthews C. (A2)
10:02, 2 - 1, Runtso T. (G), Perreault L. (A), Woodward R. (A2)
13:10, 3 - 1, Silver M. (G), Waltze C. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:51, 4 - 1, Woodward R. (G), Cooper M. (A), Runtso T. (A2)
07:33, 4 - 2, Brown R. (G), Miller R. (A), Weiermair A. (A2)
16:54, 5 - 2, Matthews C. (G), Stewart N. (A), Perreault L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
14:55, 6 - 2, Cooper M. (G), Newman R. (A), Nelson H. (A2)
15:29, 6 - 3, Domenichelli A. (G),
17:25, 7 - 3, Newman R. (G), Nelson H. (A), Cooper M. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 60:89. (average 3:4.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Victoria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:49. (average 2.9:4.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Victoria Royals - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Portland Winterhawks - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.