Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Centre Georges-Vézina (Saguenay, QC)


	Chicoutimi Sagueneens		Victoriaville Tigres

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.46	2.48
	2.31	4.53	2.31
	2.20	4.40	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.75)	4.46 ↓ (4.5)	2.41 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicoutimi Sagueneens
41%

Draw
20.7%

Victoriaville Tigres
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

20.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

21.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicoutimi Sagueneens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicoutimi Sagueneens's form might have worsened.

Victoriaville Tigres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoriaville Tigres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicoutimi Sagueneens than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicoutimi Sagueneens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriaville Tigres than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoriaville Tigres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Victoriaville Tigres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plumins P. (G)
7. Aptikashev D.
44. Berehowsky D.
8. Berthelot C. (C)
92. Bety L.
25. Dube W.
19. Dufour M.
12. Gagnon L.
72. Hecker R.
2. Kaldenbach B. (A)
42. Lecompte N. (A)
76. Lemieux-Goupil E.
94. Mohesky A.
32. Nasreddine A.
10. O'Neill C.
17. Phillips J.
88. Poirier L.
91. Terglav D.
71. Toussaint A. (A)
Substitutes
34. Lee J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
07:00, 0 - 1, Vlasov A. (G), Desruisseaux T. (A), Paquet C. (A2)
18:12, 0 - 2, Desruisseaux T. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
12:40, 1 - 2, Mohesky A. (G), Poirier L. (A),
17:41, 1 - 3, Vlasov A. (G),
19:11, 2 - 3, Lecompte N. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicoutimi won 2.

In recent outings, Chicoutimi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Victoriaville is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Victoriaville may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

Chicoutimi is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chicoutimi has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:73 (averaging 3.8:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chicoutimi against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 47:23 goals (averaging 4.7:2.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Chicoutimi Sagueneens - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.77%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicoutimi Sagueneens
QMJHL
01.10.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Charlottetown Islanders	4:5 ✺
27.09.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	6:0 ✺
25.09.26	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Chicoutimi Sagueneens	3:5 ✺
20.09.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Quebec Remparts	2:5 ✺
18.09.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Shawinigan Cataractes	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Victoriaville Tigres
QMJHL
03.10.26	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Victoriaville Tigres	2:5 ✺
30.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Charlottetown Islanders	6:5 AET ✺
27.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Gatineau Olympiques	7:5 ✺
25.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Sherbrooke Phoenix	1:7 ✺
20.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Drummondville Voltigeurs	8:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
08.03.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Victoriaville Tigres	10:0
10.01.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Victoriaville Tigres	4:1
04.01.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Chicoutimi Sagueneens	5:1
26.10.25	Victoriaville Tigres - Chicoutimi Sagueneens	4:3 penalties
08.03.25	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Victoriaville Tigres	3:4
31.12.24	Victoriaville Tigres - Chicoutimi Sagueneens	1:3
29.12.24	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Victoriaville Tigres	6:3

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