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Current Win Probability
Vienna Capitals 37.5%
Draw 22.6%
Graz 99ers 39.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.6%
22.7%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
24.2%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Graz 99ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (-3%)
Vienna Capitals - Graz 99ers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Reideborn A. (G)
30. Wieser N. (G)
7. Bailen N.
3. Hora F.
22. Schnetzer R.
20. Brunner N.
25. Gregoire J.
55. Swaney N.
19. Vey L. (C)
64. Currie J. (C)
10. Gersich S.
52. Huber P.
Line 2
92. Lindner L.
49. Maier D.
24. Bourque S.
18. Stapelfeldt P. (A)
82. Peeters S.
70. Lippitsch J.
67. Komarek K.
13. Schiechl M.
34. Koschek F.
23. Roy K.
Line 3
8. Nogier N. (A)
82. Reiner P.
5. Hackl D. (A)
58. Hanus C.
17. Kosmachuk S.
17. Ganahl M. (A)
9. Wallner L.
22. Conley K.
81. Richter M.
73. Dobnig J.
Line 4
13. Steffler D.
74. Feldner N.
37. Kromp C.
10. Collins C.
76. Antonitsch S.
81. Kirchebner M.
Substitutes
31. Setzinger L. (G)
31. Kiviaho H. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
05:33, 0 - 1, Lippitsch J. (G), Roy K. (A), Hora F. (A2)
12:36, 0 - 2, Kirchebner M. (G), Swaney N. (A), Currie J. (A2)
18:28, 1 - 2, Bailen N. (G), Bourque S. (A), Wallner L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:29, 1 - 3, Schiechl M. (G),
15:39, 2 - 3, Bourque S. (G), Bailen N. (A), Komarek K. (A2)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 0.
Vienna Capitals has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Graz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Graz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vienna Capitals has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:55 (averaging 2:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vienna Capitals against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 20:24 goals (averaging 2.2:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Graz99ers
16
6
3
3
4
46:46
27
10
Vienna Capitals
15
5
2
1
7
39:42
20
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Vienna Capitals: 4.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Vienna Capitals - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Reideborn A. (G) 
Wieser N. (G) 
Bailen N. 
Gregoire J. 
Kiviaho H. (G) 
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