Match Info

Date: 28 December 2021, Tuesday


	Vienna Capitals		Orli Znojmo

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.5	2.9
	1.95	4.33	2.95	Watch
	1.9	4.1	3.05
	1.96	4.5	3.15
	1.93	4.34	3.08
	1.91	4.2	3.1
	1.94	4.4	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)	4.34 ↓ (4.37)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vienna Capitals
48.1%

Draw
21.4%

Orli Znojmo
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

21.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

16.3%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vienna Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Orli Znojmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vienna Capitals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orli Znojmo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orli Znojmo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vienna Capitals - Orli Znojmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Vienna Capitals is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orli Znojmo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vienna Capitals could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vienna Capitals will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 50 head-to-head matches Vienna Capitals won 35 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 180-121.

Including matches at home between the teams Vienna Capitals won 18 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 100-70.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.12.21	Fehérvár AV 19 - Vienna Capitals	3:2 ✺
19.12.21	Vienna Capitals - Bolzano	5:3 ✺
17.12.21	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	2:3 ✺
10.12.21	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL
- Orli Znojmo
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.21	Orli Znojmo - Fehérvár AV 19	6:3 ✺
23.12.21	Orli Znojmo - TWK Innsbruck	2:6 ✺
18.12.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Orli Znojmo	2:4 ✺
17.12.21	Dornbirn - Orli Znojmo	1:6 ✺
12.12.21	Orli Znojmo - Black Wings Linz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
29.10.21	Vienna Capitals - Orli Znojmo	3:2
19.09.21	Orli Znojmo - Vienna Capitals	5:4
05.01.20	Vienna Capitals - Orli Znojmo	2:1
30.12.19	Orli Znojmo - Vienna Capitals	0:5
22.11.19	Vienna Capitals - Orli Znojmo	6:4
11.10.19	Orli Znojmo - Vienna Capitals	2:3
22.03.19	Vienna Capitals - Orli Znojmo	5:1

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