Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Dornbirn		Vienna Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.25	2.1
	2.7	4.1	2.15	Watch
	2.7	3.85	2.14
	2.8	4.2	2.19
	2.74	4.17	2.15
	2.75	4.2	2.2
	2.74	4.15	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)	4.13 ↓ (4.16)	2.16 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
34.2%

Draw
22.6%

Vienna Capitals
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

22.4%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

18.8%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Dornbirn have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Vienna Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dornbirn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vienna Capitals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Dornbirn is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vienna Capitals is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vienna Capitals could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Vienna Capitals to win the game is with odds 2.16.

Last 40 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 27 matches and goals 90-131.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 46-66.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.12.21	Dornbirn - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	0:4 ✺
07.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	3:5 ✺
04.12.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn	1:3 ✺
03.12.21	Villacher - Dornbirn	5:1 ✺
26.11.21	Dornbirn - EC KAC	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLL
- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.12.21	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	7:4 ✺
07.12.21	Vienna Capitals - Fehérvár AV 19	5:2 ✺
04.12.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Vienna Capitals	0:3 ✺
03.12.21	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
20.11.21	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	4:0
08.10.21	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	3:0
22.01.21	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	4:5 penalties
18.12.20	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	3:4 penalties
15.11.20	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	2:1
16.10.20	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	0:4
08.01.20	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	2:4

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