The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wheeling Nailers 49.2%
Draw 19.9%
Kalamazoo Wings 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
18.9%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.8%
25.5%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wheeling Nailers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
The chances for Kalamazoo Wings have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wheeling Nailers than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wheeling Nailers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalamazoo Wings than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalamazoo Wings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wheeling Nailers - Kalamazoo Wings Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Gauthier T. (G)
30. Koskenvuo A. (G)
80. Ansons R.
66. Bilek C.
21. Armstrong C.
71. Bloom J.
42. Breazeale D. (A)
8. Connor P.
63. Brickey S.
19. Cox R.
32. Budnick T.
9. Dougherty E.
54. De St. Phalle M.
25. Dowler B.
83. Edwards B.
10. Ghantous A.
36. Graham M.
7. Keefer D.
51. Johnson B.
86. Kunz J.
6. Laatsch D.
42. Lee J.
37. Lockhart C.
21. Mainolfi O.
61. McAllister R.
34. Ness G.
79. Pieniniemi E.
28. Okabe Z.
13. Pietila L. (A)
4. Pennington D.
22. Quercia M. (C)
43. Preston Q. (A)
23. Renwick N.
77. Strand H.
34. Urdahl Z.
51. Walker N.
25. Works J.
49. Wall K.
Substitutes
40. Pavlenko M. (G)
35. Outen T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
01:17, 1 - 0, McAllister R. (G), Johnson B. (A), Graham M. (A2)
04:00, 2 - 0, Armstrong C. (G), De St. Phalle M. (A), Edwards B. (A2)
05:03, 2 - 1, Ghantous A. (G), Walker N. (A), Kunz J. (A2)
12:15, 3 - 1, Laatsch D. (G), McAllister R. (A), Breazeale D. (A2)
14:57, 3 - 2, Bloom J. (G), Dowler B. (A), Bilek C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
06:36, 4 - 2, Pieniniemi E. (G), Brickey S. (A), Lockhart C. (A2)
12:29, 5 - 2, Renwick N. (G), Pietila L. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:07, 6 - 2, Armstrong C. (G), Urdahl Z. (A), Works J. (A2)
11:39, 7 - 2, Johnson B. (G), Urdahl Z. (A), McAllister R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wheeling won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Kalamazoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Wheeling has had a series of home games.
Wheeling could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wheeling won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:48. (average 2.9:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Wheeling won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:36. (average 2.8:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Wheeling Nailers - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.24%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Kalamazoo Wings - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.85%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gauthier T. (G) 
Koskenvuo A. (G) 
Ansons R. 
Bilek C. 
Pavlenko M. (G) 
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