The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wheeling Nailers 41%
Draw 21.4%
Fort Wayne Komets 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
20.3%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
23%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wheeling Nailers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Fort Wayne Komets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wheeling Nailers than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wheeling Nailers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne Komets than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Wheeling Nailers - Fort Wayne Komets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Gauthier T. (G)
35. Jonsson S. (G)
80. Ansons R.
42. Aleardi A.
21. Armstrong C.
10. Brown M.
42. Breazeale D. (A)
88. Copponi M.
63. Brickey S.
34. Deakin-Poot N.
54. De St. Phalle M.
25. Dufour W.
36. Graham M.
14. Feist T.
51. Johnson B.
7. Groll J.
6. Laatsch D.
3. Harsch R.
37. Lockhart C.
47. Janicke T.
61. McAllister R.
15. Krebs D.
79. Pieniniemi E.
24. Magera A.
13. Pietila L. (A)
4. McFaul D.
12. Posma M.
28. Miller M.
22. Quercia M. (C)
22. Murphy M.
23. Renwick N.
9. Murray B.
24. Thompson T.
95. Smereck J.
34. Urdahl Z.
8. Stonehouse B.
25. Works J.
74. Tyutyayev K.
Substitutes
40. Pavlenko M. (G)
31. Day N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:16, 1 - 0, Urdahl Z. (G), Ansons R. (A), Posma M. (A2)
16:36, 1 - 1, Miller M. (G), Dufour W. (A), Tyutyayev K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:31, 2 - 1, Posma M. (G), Laatsch D. (A), Johnson B. (A2)
19:09, 2 - 2, Dufour W. (G), Smereck J. (A), Brown M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
06:11, 2 - 3, Dufour W. (G), Magera A. (A), Harsch R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wheeling won 4.
In recent matches, Wheeling has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fort Wayne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Wheeling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Wheeling has had a series of home games.
Recently, Fort Wayne has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wheeling won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 58:62. (average 2.9:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wheeling won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:46. (average 2.6:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Wheeling Nailers - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gauthier T. (G) 
Jonsson S. (G) 
Ansons R. 
Aleardi A. 
Pieniniemi E. 
Tyutyayev K. 
Pavlenko M. (G) 
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