The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 42.4%
Draw 22.4%
Hartford Wolf Pack 35.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.4%
21.5%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
21.6%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins's performance.
Hartford Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartford Wolf Pack might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartford Wolf Pack could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins - Hartford Wolf Pack Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Gauthier T. (G)
35. Tung C. (G)
26. Broz T.
76. Aspinall N.
45. Brunicke H.
42. Chmelar J.
84. Calvert A. (A)
25. Cholowski D.
53. Ciona L.
2. Del Gaizo M. (A)
83. Edwards B.
38. Dorrington J.
43. Fernstrom M.
37. Dowling J. (A)
13. Gustafsson D.
45. Fortescue D.
50. Harding F.
4. Frisch E.
70. Ilyin M.
9. Gawdin G. (A)
3. Johnson R.
24. Greentree L.
52. Kemp P. (C)
59. Karpa Z.
4. Livanavage J.
26. Lamb B.
24. McGing H.
15. Nachbaur J.
8. Okuliar O.
13. Parssinen J.
38. Pickering O.
28. Roobroeck D.
74. Russell D.
5. Terrance C.
64. Shoudy T.
17. Vaakanainen U.
23. Zonnon B.
67. Vanroboys L.
Substitutes
30. Blomqvist J. (G)
34. Reimer J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:50, 0 - 1, Gawdin G. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Dorrington J. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
10:27, 1 - 1, Harding F. (G), McGing H. (A), Russell D. (A2)
14:34, 2 - 1, Broz T. (G), Harding F. (A), Livanavage J. (A2)
17:52, 2 - 2, Parssinen J. (G), Dowling J. (A), Greentree L. (A2)
18:40, 3 - 2, Pickering O. (G), McGing H. (A), Harding F. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 3.
Wilkes-Barre has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hartford is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Wilkes-Barre has faced a series of away games on the road.
Hartford is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Wilkes-Barre in today's match, at odds of 2.81.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wilkes-Barre has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:42 (averaging 3.6:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wilkes-Barre against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:17 goals (averaging 3.2:1.7 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton: 4.75% Hartford Wolf Pack: 1.17%