Match Info

AHL

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza (Wilkes-Barre Township, PA) 🌤️ ...


	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins		Belleville Senators

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.40	2.70	Watch
	2.20	4.00	2.65
	2.02	4.10	2.88
	1.97	4.31	3.00
	1.94	4.59	3.03	Watch
	1.95	4.25	2.95
	1.92	4.55	3.04	Watch
	2.04	4.30	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.99)	4.31 ↓ (4.43)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
46.2%

Draw
21.5%

Belleville Senators
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

21.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

21.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Blomqvist J. (G)	31. Parsons J. (G)
26. Broz T.	2. Andonovski M.
45. Brunicke H.	17. Bakke Olsen E.
84. Calvert A. (A)	19. Blais S.
53. Ciona L.	58. Bolduc S.
83. Edwards B.	16. Boucher T.
43. Fernstrom M.	13. Bourgault X.
13. Gustafsson D.	51. Bowers S.
50. Harding F.	10. Daoust P. (A)
70. Ilyin M.	29. Ellinas L.
3. Johnson R.	12. Halttunen K.
52. Kemp P. (C)	9. Hamara T.
4. Livanavage J.	14. Harrington S. (A)
24. McGing H.	47. Montgomery B.
8. Okuliar O.	32. Pettersson O.
38. Pickering O.	5. Stanley H.
74. Russell D.	6. Suzuki R.
64. Shoudy T.	53. Tomasino P. (A)
23. Zonnon B.	44. Toure D.
Substitutes
33. Gauthier T. (G)	45. Reidler K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
03:19, 0 - 1, Bowers S. (G), Pettersson O. (A), Toure D. (A2)
04:03, 0 - 2, Blais S. (G), Suzuki R. (A), Bourgault X. (A2)
13:11, 0 - 3, Boucher T. (G), Harrington S. (A), Bakke Olsen E. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
06:15, 1 - 3, Broz T. (G), Russell D. (A), Johnson R. (A2)
08:54, 2 - 3, Russell D. (G), Pickering O. (A),
12:21, 2 - 4, Bourgault X. (G), Ellinas L. (A),
16:26, 3 - 4, Livanavage J. (G), Russell D. (A), Calvert A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:30, 3 - 5, Tomasino P. (G), Suzuki R. (A),
03:37, 3 - 6, Boucher T. (G), Tomasino P. (A), Bolduc S. (A2)
13:29, 3 - 7, Toure D. (G), Tomasino P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Belleville may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wilkes-Barre has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Wilkes-Barre in today's match, at odds of 2.14.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wilkes-Barre has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:46 (averaging 3.7:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wilkes-Barre against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 34:24 goals (averaging 3.4:2.4 per game).

Outrights of AHL for now

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton: 4.75% Belleville Senators: 1.98%

Last Results with these Odds

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.93%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Belleville Senators - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.98%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
17.10.26	Cleveland Monsters - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:6 ✺
16.10.26	Cleveland Monsters - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:2 ✺
11.10.26	Providence Bruins - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:6 ✺
10.10.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:7 ✺
04.10.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL
- Belleville Senators
AHL
18.10.26	Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators	2:4 ✺
17.10.26	Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies	4:5 AET ✺
16.10.26	Belleville Senators - Laval Rocket	4:5 AET ✺
11.10.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	2:4 ✺
10.10.26	Syracuse Crunch - Belleville Senators	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
20.03.26	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:2 penalties
21.01.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	2:3 OT
08.03.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	8:3
04.03.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	1:4
12.01.25	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:3
10.01.25	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:6
21.12.23	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:5

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