Match Info

AHL

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza (Wilkes-Barre Township, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins		Belleville Senators

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.2	2.75	Watch
	1.98	4.15	3
	1.94	4.36	3.09	Watch
	1.91	4.2	3
	1.92	4.2	3.05	Watch
	2.05	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.08)	4.16 ↓ (4.17)	2.94 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
46.8%

Draw
22%

Belleville Senators
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

22.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Blomqvist J. (G)	35. Merilainen L. (G)
42. Breazeale D.	5. Bongiovanni W.
84. Calvert A.	13. Bourgault X.
24. Dumba M.	4. Crotty C.
62. Gallant Z.	11. Donovan J.
50. Harding F.	8. Duarte M.
49. Harvey-Pinard R.	48. Gilbert D.
85. Hayes A.	29. Hamara T.
10. Huglen A.	14. Harrington S. (A)
14. Imama B. (A)	42. Hodgson H.
52. Kemp P. (C)	39. Hookey L.
64. Klassen G.	24. Jenik J.
41. Koivunen V.	43. Kaliyev A.
15. Koppanen J. (A)	32. Pettersson O.
8. McDonough A.	22. Pilon G. (C)
2. McGroarty R.	19. Rees J.
38. Pickering O.	33. Thomson L.
44. Pietila C.	27. Washkurak K. (A)
23. Renwick N.	26. Yakemchuk C.
Substitutes
1. Murashov S. (G)	40. Sogaard M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
17:24, 0 - 1, Bourgault X. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:22, 1 - 1, Harvey-Pinard R. (G), Hayes A. (A), Breazeale D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:54, 2 - 1, Calvert A. (G), Koppanen J. (A),
15:30, 2 - 2, Hookey L. (G), Duarte M. (A), Jenik J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:34, 2 - 3, Thomson L. (G), Bourgault X. (A), Bongiovanni W. (A2)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 3.

Recent performances by Wilkes-Barre have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Belleville is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Belleville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Belleville has had a series of home games.

Wilkes-Barre could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 77:44. (average 3.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wilkes-Barre won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:21. (average 3.7:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.66%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
19.01.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:1 ✺
16.01.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hartford Wolf Pack	3:4 ✺
14.01.26	Providence Bruins - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL
- Belleville Senators
AHL
18.01.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	5:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans	5:4 OT ✺
14.01.26	Laval Rocket - Belleville Senators	2:3 OT ✺
11.01.26	Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans	5:6 OT ✺
10.01.26	Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
08.03.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	8:3
04.03.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	1:4
12.01.25	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:3
10.01.25	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:6
21.12.23	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:5
04.11.23	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	2:3 OT
25.02.23	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	1:2 OT

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