The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Windsor Spitfires 55%
Draw 20%
Owen Sound Attack 25%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.9%
20.3%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
21.8%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Owen Sound Attack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Windsor Spitfires - Owen Sound Attack Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Windbiel J. (G)
29. Corovic M. (G)
7. Bergeron T.
4. Arnett E.
42. Brocklehurst M.
17. Atkinson D.
5. Brown J.
12. Banks J.
44. Cristoforo A. (A)
8. Bell C.
13. Debruyn J.
90. Bernat L.
77. Garden E. (C)
5. Brown J. (A)
25. Gram D.
16. Crawford J. (A)
11. Harvey C.
10. Delisle M.
22. Havusic H.
43. Fransen M.
16. Inskip I.
9. Kindree E.
8. Makysh B.
88. Lisi A.
17. McLaughlin J. (A)
21. Mbuyi P. (C)
27. Robinson A.
23. Merrick C.
21. Spicer G.
34. Nansi H. (A)
91. Svrcek M.
7. Prud'homme L.
28. Walton C. (A)
77. Royston W.
88. Whelan L.
13. Taylor A.
87. Yakushevsky B.
27. Voortman J.
Substitutes
30. Newlove M. (G)
31. Leenders R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:14, 1 - 0, Cristoforo A. (G), Harvey C. (A), Yakushevsky B. (A2)
01:05, 2 - 0, McLaughlin J. (G),
2nd Period (4 - 1)
03:38, 3 - 0, Brocklehurst M. (G), Cristoforo A. (A), Harvey C. (A2)
04:09, 4 - 0, Svrcek M. (G), Brocklehurst M. (A),
11:09, 5 - 0, Debruyn J. (G), Cristoforo A. (A), Yakushevsky B. (A2)
16:55, 6 - 0, Makysh B. (G), Robinson A. (A),
17:20, 6 - 1, Bell C. (G), Kindree E. (A), Bernat L. (A2)
3rd Period (5 - 2)
04:20, 7 - 1, Svrcek M. (G), Brocklehurst M. (A), Harvey C. (A2)
04:29, 8 - 1, McLaughlin J. (G), Makysh B. (A), Brown J. (A2)
08:45, 9 - 1, Brocklehurst M. (G), Debruyn J. (A), Svrcek M. (A2)
10:21, 10 - 1, Brocklehurst M. (G), Svrcek M. (A), Bergeron T. (A2)
13:56, 10 - 2, Delisle M. (G), Mbuyi P. (A), Banks J. (A2)
15:28, 10 - 3, Brown J. (G), Banks J. (A), Atkinson D. (A2)
18:16, 11 - 3, Bergeron T. (G), McLaughlin J. (A), Brown J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 4.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Windsor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Owen has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Windsor for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Windsor has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 88:73 (averaging 4.4:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Windsor against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 41:34 goals (averaging 4.6:3.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Owen Sound Attack - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 25.8%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.