The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Owen Sound Attack 20.2%
Draw 18.5%
Guelph Storm 61.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21%
19.4%
59.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
20.6%
56.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Owen Sound Attack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guelph Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Leenders R. (G)
62. Hrebik B. (G)
4. Arnett E.
17. Babin P.
17. Atkinson D.
15. Bartovic A.
12. Banks J.
8. Carscadden A.
8. Bell C.
22. Czata E.
5. Brown J. (A)
29. Dravecky V.
81. Cernak R.
3. Frossard E.
16. Crawford J. (A)
10. Griffin O. (A)
10. Delisle M. (A)
5. Hirst B.
43. Fransen M.
91. Hopkins T. (A)
9. Kindree E.
14. Jenken N.
88. Lisi A.
19. Kazda T.
21. Mbuyi P. (C)
28. Kucher C.
23. Merrick C.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)
34. Nansi H.
81. Shybinskyi I.
7. Prud'homme L.
21. Spada G.
77. Royston W.
96. Stevens C.
27. Voortman J.
16. Van Gelder B.
44. Zurawski C.
77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
29. Corovic M. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
04:56, 0 - 1, Roobroeck R. (G), Griffin O. (A),
09:28, 0 - 2, Jenken N. (G), Dravecky V. (A), Wycisk J. (A2)
16:22, 1 - 2, Zurawski C. (G), Banks J. (A), Delisle M. (A2)
19:17, 1 - 3, Stevens C. (G), Spada G. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 6)
01:06, 2 - 3, Crawford J. (G), Royston W. (A), Brown J. (A2)
01:19, 3 - 3, Delisle M. (G),
05:27, 4 - 3, Mbuyi P. (G), Crawford J. (A), Fransen M. (A2)
06:16, 4 - 4, Wycisk J. (G), Dravecky V. (A), Jenken N. (A2)
11:52, 4 - 5, Bartovic A. (G), Kazda T. (A), Dravecky V. (A2)
12:05, 5 - 5, Delisle M. (G), Mbuyi P. (A), Nansi H. (A2)
12:52, 5 - 6, Roobroeck R. (G), Griffin O. (A), Czata E. (A2)
16:22, 5 - 7, Hopkins T. (G), Griffin O. (A),
18:36, 5 - 8, Shybinskyi I. (G), Griffin O. (A), Hopkins T. (A2)
20:00, 5 - 9, Dravecky V. (G), Shybinskyi I. (A), Bartovic A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
13:07, 5 - 10, Dravecky V. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Owen won 1.
Owen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Guelph is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Guelph could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Guelph has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Guelph is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Guelph in today's match, at odds of 1.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Owen has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:77 (averaging 3.3:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Owen against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 31:34 goals (averaging 3.1:3.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Owen Sound Attack - the odds 4.36 are the expected chance of winning is 20.98%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Leenders R. (G) 
Bartovic A. 
Banks J. 
Cernak R. 
Shybinskyi I. 
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