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Current Win Probability
Windsor Spitfires 36.8%
Draw 22.3%
Sudbury Wolves 40.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.3%
21.7%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
22.8%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Windsor Spitfires - Sudbury Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Newlove M. (G)
31. Bronas B. (G)
7. Bergeron T.
50. Belikov I.
42. Brocklehurst M.
93. Blonda L.
5. Brown J. (A)
26. Chovan J. (A)
10. Costello S.
11. Dean E.
13. Debruyn J.
84. Gonchar A.
77. Garden E. (C)
22. Greene N.
25. Gram D.
51. Harris K.
11. Harvey C.
77. Henderson R. (A)
22. Havusic H.
73. Kwajah K.
16. Inskip I.
18. Ladds L.
8. Makysh B.
66. Lemieux J. (A)
17. McLaughlin J. (A)
27. Martin H.
27. Robinson A.
71. Nemec A.
21. Spicer G.
97. Provorov V.
91. Svrcek M.
96. Smith P.
28. Walton C. (A)
88. Ula G.
88. Whelan L.
89. Ula P.
87. Yakushevsky B.
86. Walker M.
Substitutes
34. Windbiel J. (G)
29. Frasca P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
13:49, 0 - 1, Kwajah K. (G), Gonchar A. (A), Lemieux J. (A2)
14:29, 0 - 2, Lemieux J. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
11:48, 0 - 3, Henderson R. (G), Kwajah K. (A),
15:50, 0 - 4, Lemieux J. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
07:42, 1 - 4, McLaughlin J. (G), Debruyn J. (A), Brocklehurst M. (A2)
16:11, 1 - 5, Ladds L. (G),
16:28, 1 - 6, Lemieux J. (G),
19:30, 2 - 6, Havusic H. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 3.
In recent outings, Windsor has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sudbury is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Windsor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sudbury has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sudbury holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Windsor has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 91:64 (averaging 4.6:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Windsor against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 55:27 goals (averaging 5.5:2.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Windsor Spitfires - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.01%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.