The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Bay Battalion 29.8%
Draw 19.7%
Sudbury Wolves 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
20.8%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
21.9%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Sudbury Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
North Bay Battalion - Sudbury Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. McIvor M. (G)
29. Frasca P. (G)
13. Barch H.
9. Bennett B.
7. Brown D.
93. Blonda L.
11. Carey R.
26. Chovan J. (A)
23. Crete M.
84. Gonchar A.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
22. Greene N.
27. Edwards L.
51. Harris K.
4. Enright A. (A)
77. Henderson R. (A)
21. Hodgson K.
2. Kearns F.
8. Karmanov A.
73. Kwajah K.
6. Konobelj O.
18. Ladds L.
19. Laird N. (C)
66. Lemieux J. (A)
2. Manzo A.
27. Martin H.
24. Moses S.
71. Nemec A.
22. Pereira J.
97. Provorov V.
20. Pronin A.
96. Smith P.
17. van Bommel R. (A)
88. Ula G.
16. Vaughan P. (A)
86. Walker M.
14. Warren C.
5. Wreggitt C.
Substitutes
32. Vreugdenhil C. (G)
30. Leonard O. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:37, 1 - 0, Carey R. (G), Crete M. (A), Dubrovtsev Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:50, 1 - 1, Henderson R. (G), Walker M. (A), Provorov V. (A2)
18:02, 2 - 1, Pronin A. (G), Moses S. (A), Warren C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:07, 2 - 2, Chovan J. (G), Nemec A. (A), Lemieux J. (A2)
03:33, 2 - 3, Smith P. (G), Greene N. (A),
19:40, 3 - 3, Moses S. (G), Enright A. (A), Vaughan P. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:45, 4 - 3, Pronin A. (G), Carey R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 5.
North Bay is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sudbury is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Sudbury could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, North Bay has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Sudbury has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sudbury holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Sudbury in today's match, at odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, North Bay has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:57 (averaging 3.7:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for North Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 40:20 goals (averaging 4:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
North Bay Battalion - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.67%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.