The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Bay Battalion 35%
Draw 22.1%
Sudbury Wolves 42.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.9%
21.2%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
22%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Bay Battalion's performance.
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sudbury Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+4%)
North Bay Battalion - Sudbury Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. McIvor M. (G)
29. Frasca P. (G)
13. Barch H.
13. Adams T.
11. Carey R.
93. Blonda L.
3. Daigneault J.
26. Chovan J. (A)
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
19. Clayton B. (C)
27. Edwards L.
84. Gonchar A.
4. Enright A. (A)
22. Greene N.
21. Hodgson K.
51. Harris K.
8. Karmanov A.
77. Henderson R. (A)
6. Konobelj O.
2. Kearns F.
15. Kunopaski C.
73. Kwajah K.
19. Laird N. (C)
18. Ladds L.
9. Lovell G.
66. Lemieux J. (A)
24. Moses S.
27. Martin H.
22. Pereira J.
71. Nemec A.
20. Pronin A.
97. Provorov V.
17. van Bommel R. (A)
88. Ula G.
16. Vaughan P. (A)
89. Ula P.
14. Warren C.
86. Walker M.
Substitutes
32. Vreugdenhil C. (G)
31. Bronas B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:05, 0 - 1, Chovan J. (G), Lemieux J. (A), Nemec A. (A2)
08:12, 1 - 1, van Bommel R. (G), Enright A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:45, 1 - 2, Adams T. (G), Nemec A. (A), Chovan J. (A2)
06:32, 2 - 2, Moses S. (G), Pronin A. (A),
10:19, 2 - 3, Nemec A. (G), Henderson R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:01, 2 - 4, Kwajah K. (G), Walker M. (A), Ladds L. (A2)
17:35, 3 - 4, Dubrovtsev Y. (G), Warren C. (A),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 5.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
North Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sudbury has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sudbury holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, North Bay has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:58 (averaging 3.7:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for North Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 39:21 goals (averaging 3.9:2.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
North Bay Battalion - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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McIvor M. (G) 
Barch H. 
Chovan J. (A) 
Dubrovtsev Y. 
Karmanov A. 
Konobelj O. 
Pronin A. 
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