Match Info

NHL

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Winnipeg Jets

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	3	Watch
	2.03	4.42	3.01
	2.1	4.4	2.92
	2.25	4.18	2.67	Watch
	2.09	4.42	2.92
	2	4.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.25)	4.31 ↑ (4.18)	2.93 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
45.5%

Draw
22%

Winnipeg Jets
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

22.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

22.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Washington Capitals - Winnipeg Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Winnipeg will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 50%). Winnipeg (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
79. Lindgren C. (G)	1. Comrie E. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)	2. DeMelo D.
42. Fehervary M.	44. Morrissey J. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.	13. Vilardi G.
17. Strome D.	55. Scheifele M. (A)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	81. Connor K.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	4. Pionk N.
6. Chychrun J.	54. Samberg D.
43. Wilson T. (A)	91. Perfetti C.
34. Sourdif J.	7. Namestnikov V.
21. Protas A.	70. Pearson T. (C)
Line 3
47. Chisholm D.	6. Miller C.
38. Sandin R.	64. Stanley L.
9. Leonard R.	9. Iafallo A.
24. McMichael C.	17. Lowry A.
22. Duhaime B.	62. Niederreiter N.
Line 4
53. Frank E.	14. Nyquist G.
29. Lapierre H.	19. Toews J.
15. Milano S.	36. Barron M.
Substitutes
48. Thompson L. (G)	32. Milic T. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Arniel S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
06:38, 1 - 0, Carlson J. (G), Wilson T. (A),
14:21, 2 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Milano S. (A), Frank E. (A2)
19:38, 2 - 1, Vilardi G. (G), Connor K. (A),
19:50, Strome D. (2 min),
19:50, Namestnikov V. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:24, 2 - 2, Vilardi G. (G), Morrissey J. (A), Connor K. (A2)
05:22, 3 - 2, Ovechkin A. (G), Roy M. (A), Beauvillier A. (A2)
20:00, Barron M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:25, 4 - 2, McMichael C. (G),
07:35, Duhaime B. (2 min),
12:03, Toews J. (2 min),
15:11, 4 - 3, Scheifele M. (G), Connor K. (A), DeMelo D. (A2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.

Washington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Winnipeg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.

Washington could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in Winnipeg: Hellebuyck C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Washington: Dowd N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Winnipeg: Pionk N. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Washington will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:49. (average 3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:22. (average 3.9:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Winnipeg Jets - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
24.11.25	Washington Capitals - Columbus Blue Jackets	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:5 ✺
20.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	4:8 ✺
19.11.25	Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers	7:4 ✺
17.11.25	Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW
- Winnipeg Jets
NHL
23.11.25	Winnipeg Jets - Minnesota Wild	0:3 ✺
21.11.25	Winnipeg Jets - Carolina Hurricanes	3:4 ✺
18.11.25	Winnipeg Jets - Columbus Blue Jackets	5:2 ✺
15.11.25	Calgary Flames - Winnipeg Jets	3:4 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Seattle Kraken - Winnipeg Jets	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
25.03.25	Winnipeg Jets - Washington Capitals	3:2 OT
01.02.25	Washington Capitals - Winnipeg Jets	4:5 OT
24.03.24	Washington Capitals - Winnipeg Jets	3:0
11.03.24	Winnipeg Jets - Washington Capitals	3:0
23.12.22	Washington Capitals - Winnipeg Jets	4:1
11.12.22	Winnipeg Jets - Washington Capitals	2:5
18.01.22	Washington Capitals - Winnipeg Jets	4:3 OT

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