Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Wisconsin Badgers		Michigan Wolverines

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.2	1.78
	3.2	4.2	1.8
	3.21	4.33	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	4.24 ↑ (4)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisconsin Badgers
28%

Draw
21.4%

Michigan Wolverines
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

22.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.6%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisconsin Badgers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Michigan Wolverines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisconsin Badgers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michigan Wolverines could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisconsin won 3.

Wisconsin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Michigan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Michigan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wisconsin won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 66:69. (average 3.9:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisconsin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 4:3.1).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Michigan Wolverines: 12.22% Wisconsin Badgers: 3.55%

Last Results with these Odds

Michigan Wolverines - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.56%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisconsin Badgers hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Wisconsin Badgers	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Wisconsin Badgers	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5:4 ✺
06.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- Michigan Wolverines hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	6:3 ✺
13.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	5:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Michigan Wolverines	5:2 ✺
06.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Michigan State Spartans	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	4:1
08.11.25	Michigan Wolverines - Wisconsin Badgers	1:6
07.11.25	Michigan Wolverines - Wisconsin Badgers	7:4
25.01.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	4:5 penalties
24.01.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	5:4
14.12.24	Michigan Wolverines - Wisconsin Badgers	3:2 OT
13.12.24	Michigan Wolverines - Wisconsin Badgers	0:4

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