Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Michigan Wolverines		Penn State Nittany Lions

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.4	3.45
	1.87	4.46	3.2
	1.75	4.2	3.4
	1.77	4.45	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	4.38 ↑ (4.2)	3.33 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan Wolverines
51.6%

Draw
20.9%

Penn State Nittany Lions
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

21.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

22.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan Wolverines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michigan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Michigan will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Michigan won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 88:69. (average 4.9:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Michigan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 52:43. (average 4.7:3.9).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Michigan Wolverines: 12.22% Penn State Nittany Lions: 2.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Michigan Wolverines - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.72%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan Wolverines hockey
NCAA Hockey
11.03.26	Michigan Wolverines - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6:1 ✺
27.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	4:2 ✺
26.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL
- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
11.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers	6:2 ✺
06.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	2:5 ✺
05.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	3:7 ✺
28.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	4:3 OT ✺
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
14.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	6:3
13.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	5:4 penalties
15.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan Wolverines	4:2
14.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan Wolverines	1:7
08.03.25	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:5
07.03.25	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	5:6 OT
01.02.25	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	7:3

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