Match Info

VHL

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Ugra (Khanty-Mansiysk)


	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.44	4.44	Watch
	1.62	4.02	4.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.96)	4.23 ↑ (3.78)	4.33 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
56.9%

Draw
21.8%

Gornyak-UGMK
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

23.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk's performance.

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gornyak-UGMK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gornyak-UGMK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yugra Khanty Mansiysk - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Sokhatsky V. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
4. Yelizarov A. (A)	90. Nekrasov N.
89. Teryayev S. (C)	4. Bolshakov M.
86. Kirileichenko M.	7. Gordin A.
81. Spiridonov Y.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
37. Udot A.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 2
67. Afanasyev M.	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
57. Sevostyanov A.	72. Trofimov Y.
33. Maklozyan Y.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
15. Busarov G. (A)	14. Makhrin M. (A)
66. Belyayev M.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
79. Savelyev A.	26. Ishimnikov N.
47. Medvedev P.	83. Karpovich D.
28. Kazakov M.	29. Khremkin K.
80. Maltsev M.	10. Filyayev V.
13. Kadyshev K.	32. Borisov S.
Line 4
72. Savchik K.	95. Dumchenko N.
70. Rasseikin M.	87. Loza I.
17. Podkorytov A.	18. Sushchev V.
91. Makeyev A.	96. Miller N.
Substitutes
11. Popov A.	35. Tulinov N. (G)
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:09, 0 - 1, Makhrin M. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:43, 0 - 2, Khremkin K. (G), Borisov S. (A), Filyayev V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 5.

Yugra has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yugra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yugra has had a series of away games.

In this match, Yugra is a strong favorite.

We predict that Yugra will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 47:42. (average 2.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yugra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 2.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
20	HC Yugra	11	4	2	0	5	20:17	12

Last Results with these Odds

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.56%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.36%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
28.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 ✺
24.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
22.12.25	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:6 ✺
20.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:5 penalties ✺
18.12.25	Molot Perm - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
23.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik	3:2 penalties ✺
19.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
14.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 ✺
12.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Gornyak-UGMK	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
02.08.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 penalties
01.08.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:2
VHL
26.01.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK	4:2
25.10.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 penalties
04.02.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:4
16.09.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 penalties

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide