Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Ugra (Khanty-Mansiysk)


	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.95	4.1
	1.67	4.25	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	4.1 ↑ (3.9)	4.18 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
55.3%

Draw
22.5%

Izhstal
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Yugra Khanty Mansiysk - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
67. Afanasyev M.	76. Khairulin T.
57. Sevostyanov A.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
66. Belyayev M.	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
81. Spiridonov Y.	10. Astashevsky S.
37. Udot A.	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
21. Kirpichnikov A.	50. Zhdanov Y.
47. Medvedev P. (A)	23. Glebov G. (C)
33. Maklozyan Y.	60. Yakovlev P.
15. Busarov G. (C)	27. Pukelo K.
70. Rasseikin M.	99. Ogirchuk D.
Line 3
4. Yelizarov A. (A)	98. Yanchevsky M.
72. Savchik K.	81. Glinsky M.
28. Kazakov M.	29. Kruzhenkov Y.
80. Maltsev M.	57. Yepishchev I.
13. Kadyshev K.	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 4
44. Shevtsov V.	78. Sokolov S.
11. Popov A.	11. Slepkov I.
92. Gurevich I.	21. Pugachyov A.
17. Podkorytov A.	36. Poyarkov D.
91. Makeyev A.	59. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
50. Sokhatsky V. (G)	43. Volkov G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
16:01, 1 - 0, Kazakov M. (G),
16:41, 2 - 0, Podkorytov A. (G), Busarov G. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:13, 3 - 0, Kadyshev K. (G), Maltsev M. (A), Kazakov M. (A2)
04:26, 3 - 1, Kovalyov A. (G),
05:23, 4 - 1, Rasseikin M. (G),
14:08, 4 - 2, Ogirchuk D. (G), Zhdanov Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 5.

Yugra is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Izhstal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yugra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yugra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:25. (average 3.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yugra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:10. (average 4.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Izhstal - the odds 4.46 are the expected chance of winning is 20.98%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
17.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Toros Neftekamsk	4:0 ✺
15.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
13.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 ✺
05.11.25	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
14.11.25	Izhstal - Buran Voronezh	3:1 ✺
12.11.25	Izhstal - Rostov	3:1 ✺
10.11.25	Izhstal - Tambov	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
03.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.03.25	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:4
20.09.24	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	4:1
21.12.23	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:4
23.10.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	3:2 OT
09.01.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	4:0
13.10.22	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3
24.01.22	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	4:2

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