Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Tambov

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.88	3.44
	1.89	4.15	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 (1.87)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	3.42 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
49.7%

Draw
23.1%

Tambov
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Izhstal - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)
45. Nazarko A.	45. Yanevsky S.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)	28. Bulychyov G.
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)	37. Baranov Y.
10. Astashevsky S.	17. Samsonov D.
41. Yerofeyev A.	10. Tochilkin A.
Line 2
50. Zhdanov Y.	62. Lugovyak S.
23. Glebov G. (C)	26. Yershov I.
60. Yakovlev P.	86. Kopyltsov S.
57. Yepishchev I.	96. Pyanov E.
99. Ogirchuk D.	49. Smirnov Y.
Line 3
98. Yanchevsky M.	72. Vasin I. (C)
81. Glinsky M.	24. Mamkin M. (A)
39. Kovalyov A.	74. Zhabreyev A.
27. Pukelo K.	87. Gorbunov Y.
19. Axyonov A.	27. Andriyanov A.
Line 4
11. Slepkov I.	9. Peshekhonov V.
21. Pugachyov A.	92. Korinevsky M. (A)
36. Poyarkov D.	71. Koltygin P.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	84. Nizovkin M.
Substitutes
78. Sokolov S.	98. Smirnov A. (G)
43. Volkov G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:30, 0 - 1, Smirnov Y. (G), Kopyltsov S. (A), Mamkin M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:25, 0 - 2, Samsonov D. (G), Baranov Y. (A),
06:40, 1 - 2, Yerofeyev A. (G), Zhdanov Y. (A), Astashevsky S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 1.

Izhstal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tambov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tambov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of away games.

Izhstal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Izhstal will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:50. (average 2.8:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 2.8:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
05.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
03.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Izhstal	3:0 ✺
30.10.25	Norilsk - Izhstal	0:5 ✺
25.10.25	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLWW
- HC Tambov
VHL
08.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
06.11.25	Molot Perm - Tambov	3:2 penalties ✺
04.11.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
29.10.25	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	1:5 ✺
27.10.25	Tambov - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.02.25	Tambov - Izhstal	5:4 penalties
30.09.24	Izhstal - Tambov	1:7
31.01.24	Izhstal - Tambov	2:4
20.09.23	Tambov - Izhstal	5:2
28.01.23	Izhstal - Tambov	5:4 penalties
26.09.22	Tambov - Izhstal	5:4
11.02.22	Tambov - Izhstal	4:3 OT

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