Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow)


	Yunison Moscow		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.86	4.26	2.08
	3.08	3.98	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (4.07)	4.12 ↓ (4.33)	2.06 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunison Moscow
31.6%

Draw
22.8%

Dizel Penza
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

21.6%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunison Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunison Moscow's performance.

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dizel Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunison Moscow than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunison Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizel Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yunison Moscow - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Khakimov R. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)
16. Myslyayev S.	28. Taratunin T.
18. Tsyganov D.	75. Pogorishny O.
77. Rtishchev N. (C)	11. Kolgotin D. (A)
11. Ryzhov K.	21. Silayev I. (C)
69. Skorikov D. (A)	26. Li N.
Line 2
82. Semykin D.	83. Sukhov S.
8. Burov M.	90. Voronin N.
68. Larichev I.	95. Kolmykov M.
21. Fedyakin S. (A)	99. Ivantsov I.
19. Kolesnikov S.	10. Popov D. (A)
Line 3
57. Sobolevsky Y.	68. Rudakov G.
86. Vasilyev K.	6. Lukichyov A.
97. Detkov I.	41. Lukin V.
96. Almazov N.	19. Ryzhkov M.
25. Zubov Y.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
81. Khvostov Z.	34. Ignatovich M.
15. Kudryashov I.	8. Shaikhutdinov T.
99. Grigoryev N.	5. Krasnov A.
98. Govorkov R.	13. Zakirov T.
74. Govorkov M.
Substitutes
1. Chechelev D. (G)	62. Latypov G.
	20. Shugayev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:58, 0 - 1, Borisenkov A. (G), Ryzhkov M. (A), Lukin V. (A2)
09:48, 1 - 1, Burov M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:25, 1 - 2, Pogorishny O. (G), Taratunin T. (A), Ryzhkov M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
05:28, 2 - 2, Kolesnikov S. (G), Fedyakin S. (A), Larichev I. (A2)
12:37, 2 - 3, Voronin N. (G),
14:33, 2 - 4, Pogorishny O. (G), Lukin V. (A),
19:32, 2 - 5, Kolmykov M. (G), Ivantsov I. (A),

Preview

Yunison is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dizel is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yunison could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dizel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dizel to win the game is with odds 1.85.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yunison won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunison Moscow
VHL
02.02.25	Yunison Moscow - Kristall Saratov	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Yunison Moscow - CSK VVS Samara	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Yunison Moscow - Zvezda Moscow	2:5 ✺
21.01.25	SKA-VMF - Yunison Moscow	8:3 ✺
19.01.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yunison Moscow	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
02.02.25	SKA-VMF - Dizel Penza	4:1 ✺
31.01.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 penalties ✺
22.01.25	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.10.24	Dizel Penza - Yunison Moscow	4:3

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